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Big 6 membership

Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:10 pm
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
84887 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:10 pm
I see a lot of posts around here from little 8 members talking about how/why/when/and who will "crack" into the Big 6 and make it the Big 7. While it's no lock that any of you will ever do it, I wanted to make a few things clear:

1. One fluke season, no matter how good, would not get any of you into the Big 6.

2. Even multiple SEC championships wouldn't automatically get you in. There is so substitute for consistency, being up and down year after year and sprinkling a few titles here and there isn't good enough, and neither would be a 2-3 year run that was followed by a return to mediocrity.

3. Given that, it's going to take AT LEAST a decade of year in, year out success for any of you to truly be considered for inclusion. With a lot of hardware and at least one NC along the way.


I think the consensus is that, with expansion, there is "room" for 1 more member, but that doesn't mean we "have" to fill that spot. You're going to have to make it impossible for anyone to reasonably deny you a place at the table for it to happen.
Posted by Mizz-SEC
Inbred Huntin' In The SEC
Member since Jun 2013
19257 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:12 pm to
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69932 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:14 pm to
I agree with Draconian Sanctions, I feel like I'm going to puke
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86553 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:15 pm to
Posted by UTodd98
Tennessee
Member since Sep 2014
660 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:16 pm to
Little bros gonna little bro...

Let them have their fun.
Posted by jsmoove
Member since Oct 2010
12627 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

2. Even multiple SEC championships wouldn't automatically get you in. There is so substitute for consistency, being up and down year after year and sprinkling a few titles here and there isn't good enough, and neither would be a 2-3 year run that was followed by a return to mediocrity.



Gee, I wonder who you could be talking about, dickhead? I'm sorry LSU hasn't been undefeated since the 50's and has a ridiculous 2-loss MNC in the recent past.
Posted by TexAgChill
Member since Mar 2015
2450 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

One fluke season


You mean like Les's NC win with a loss to Kentucky and Arkansas?
Posted by BigEdLSU
All around the south
Member since Sep 2010
20268 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:22 pm to
*intoduces motion to table this discussion until a non member actually wins something of significance. Anyone second?
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79322 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:24 pm to
Honestly, if Tennessee doesn't rebound this time, they're out. Football started in 2000 for fricks sake
Posted by BallstotheWesleyWall
Swagosphere
Member since Jan 2014
9364 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:26 pm to
I'm glad you find yourself this important.
Posted by Old Sarge
Dean of Admissions, LSU
Member since Jan 2012
55447 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:29 pm to
What's really funny is LSU fans telling others that they are historically significant
Posted by Kamikaze25
Columbia
Member since Jul 2015
1199 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:30 pm to
This thread is for a few members (UT,LSU,Florida) of the "Big 6" to pat themselves on the back, because they have been experiencing mediocre results, at best, lately. It's okay, keep stroking the ego on past accomplishments, we will continue taking the rug from under your feet
Posted by 5thTiger
Member since Nov 2014
7996 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

Big 6 membership


As far as Mizzou fans are concerned, there is only a Big 2. Auburn and Alabama are the only two schools to accomplish more than us while we have been in the SEC.

Y'all get too caught up looking at the past that you forget to think about the present.
Posted by sugatowng
Look at my bling Bitches
Member since Nov 2006
25333 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 2:02 pm to
The SEC as a whole was an afterthought until Frank Broyles brought in the Hogs. Our inclusion is what made this conference relevant.

You're welcome
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 2:03 pm to
Man, there's nothing better than watching the serfs quibble from the Ivory Tower. Have a great season, subjects!
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 3:06 pm to
It will take a very long time for any other program to join the "Big 6". Texas A&M is really the only team that has a fighting chance to do so in the next 40 years.

The "Big 6" have won every single Football SEC Championship since 1977. The six programs share a total of 41 SEC Championships over this period of time, and they are dispersed fairly evenly:

10- Alabama
8- Florida
7- Auburn
6- LSU
5- Georgia
5- Tennessee

Also since 1977, all of the "Big 6" members have at least one national title:

5- Alabama (1978, 1979, 1992, 2009, 2011, 2012)
3- Florida (1996, 2006, 2008)
2- LSU (2003, 2007)
1- Georgia (1980)
1- Auburn (2010)
1- Tennessee (1998)

No other current SEC program has won either an SEC Title or a National Title in this 38-year period of time.

The "Big 6" also lead the way in terms of overall wins and winning percentage since 1977:

70.6%- Alabama (318-132-2)
70.4%- Georgia (325-135-6)
70.1%- Florida (325-137-6)
68.3%- Auburn (311-143-6)
66.0%- Tennessee (303-154-8)
65.3%- LSU (298-157-6)
--------------------------------
64.0%- Texas A&M (294-165-3)
60.7%- Arkansas (276-178-5)
54.2%- South Carolina (240-202-7)
51.0%- Ole Miss (225-216-4)
50.2%- Missouri (223-221-7)

So in order for another program to join this top group, it would require the following:

1) At least 1 National Championship
2) At least 5 SEC Championships
3) Get up above 65% winning percentage dating back to at least 1977

The big question is: Would any of the new SEC programs have won any championships had they been in the SEC since 1977? Who knows. No one does. But examining previous seasons' historical outcomes, it looks unlikely.

Since 1977, but prior to joining the SEC, the new SEC members only finished in the AP Top 10 on seven occasions:

2007- Missouri (#4)
1994- Texas A&M (#8)
1993- Texas A&M (#9)
1992- Texas A&M (#7)
1987- Texas A&M (#10)
1985- Texas A&M (#6)
1979- Arkansas (#8)

Would any of these seven teams won the SEC had they been members of the conference in those seasons? Possibly, but its unlikely.

At least two SEC teams finished ahead of those teams mentioned above during those years, except twice.... in in those two seasons, one SEC team finished ranked ahead but it was an SEC National Champion team.

2007- #1 LSU, #2 Georiga, #4 Missouri
1994- #5 Alabama, #7 Florida, #8 Texas A&M
1993- #4 Auburn, #5 Florida, #9 Texas A&M
1992- #1 Alabama, #7 Texas A&M
1987- #5 LSU, #7 Auburn, #10 Texas A&M
1985- #4 Tennessee, #5 Florida, #6 Texas A&M
1979- #1 Alabama, #8 Arkansas

Based on this history, it does not appear that being in the SEC in those seasons would have actually produced SEC Championships for Mizzou, Texas A&M, or Arkansas.

Texas A&M has the best chance of joining the group, though it would probably take a very long time to do so. They are close in the win category.

Winning 5 SEC Titles and a National Title would probably do it for them.... but we're talking a minimum of five seasons, and with the parity in this conference, reality says it would be nearly if not totally impossible to win 5 consecutive SEC Championships.

In reality, its entirely possible for the Aggies to join the top group, but it will likely take a very strong 20-year period to do so. During that time, the "Big 6" will continue to win Championships, so the bar might continue to move forward. It might actually take 6 or 7 SEC Titles to actually join the group.

I don't think Arkansas can do it. They've had 23 years to win an SEC Title and they've failed to do it yet... how are they going to suddenly rattle off 5 of 6? Enjoy your mid-tier status Hogs. You aren't moving up in your lifetime.

Mizzou is too far behind in the wins/winning percentage. Not only would they need to win a National Title or two, but they'd need to win 8-9 SEC Titles to overcome their shortage of wins over the past 40 years or so.

For South Carolina- see explanation for Arkansas.

For Ole Miss, a sudden run of 3 or so titles might shift the time period backwards. While every SEC Title has been won by the "Big 6" since 1977, all but one has been won by the "Big 6" since 1964 (Kentucky shared the title with Georgia in 1976).

But before 1964, Ole Miss had a solid run. They won five SEC Titles between 1954 and 1964. If they went on a run and won 3-4 new SEC Titles in the near future, you might could call the top tier "The Big 7" and date it back to 1953.

Although pushing it backwards just adds up more accolades for the real "Big 6". LSU won a National Title in 1958. Auburn in 1957. All "Big 6" members other than Florida won SEC Titles between 1953 and 1976, so it just makes for more catching up to do.

Ole Miss' other problem is their horrific winning percentage since 1965. They would have a lot of catching up to do in that department.

So to sum this all up, the Aggies have a fighting chance, but it will take some time. At least they have the resources to do it. And they reside in fertile recruiting territory.

No evidence exists to suggest any of the other programs will ever join the top group other than a great season or two. They can join Kentucky's 1976 squad as having broken the barrier for a single year, but its unlikely they'll become the next Florida and suddenly join the Big boys.

Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
54792 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

1. One fluke season, no matter how good, would not get any of you into the Big 6.


: kige :

Keep in mind, even when the SEC had 13 teams it was still "THE SIX"

Going to 7 just cheapens the honor, if you want to be a 6 you gotta knock a current 6 out to do it.
Posted by redeye
Member since Aug 2013
8605 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 5:13 pm to
LOL... The entire point of the "Big 6" is that they're the only teams to win the SEC since Kentucky in '76.

You don't get to change the rules.
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29453 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 5:18 pm to
Can a team be dropped from the Big 6? Hypothetically, if a team went for 15 years being shite-awful and hadn't beat their rivals in over a decade would they be kicked out?
Posted by Sid E Walker
InsecureU ©
Member since Nov 2013
23887 posts
Posted on 8/28/15 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

I think the consensus is that, with expansion, there is "room" for 1 more member, but that doesn't mean we "have" to fill that spot. You're going to have to make it impossible for anyone to reasonably deny you a place at the table for it to happen.

If the current Big 6 doesn't wish to expand to a Big 7, I'd like to make a motion that we swap out Tennessee for another worthy candidate if the Vol ranters misbehave in the summer of 2016 like they did this summer. And the vote doesn't have to be unanimous, either.
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