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re: The line against State is up to 8.5
Posted on 11/12/14 at 8:12 pm to ReauxlTide222
Posted on 11/12/14 at 8:12 pm to ReauxlTide222
quote:quote:
It shouldn't. Contrary to popular belief, Vegas can't predict the future
They are extraordinarily good at what they do
Which is adjust the lines until they get even bets. At that point, they've eliminated any risk and just collect the juice.
3
Posted on 11/12/14 at 8:19 pm to crimsonsaint
quote:
Which is adjust the lines until they get even bets. At that point, they've eliminated any risk and just collect the juice.
Yep. Gotta think the line drops as the week progresses. Somewhere around 6.5 would be my guess.
Posted on 11/12/14 at 10:05 pm to crimsonsaint
Vegas takes stands on games. Impossible and impractical to try and get even bets and only rely on juice.
Calculated risks.
Calculated risks.
Posted on 11/13/14 at 3:48 am to crimsonsaint
quote:
Which is adjust the lines until they get even bets. At that point, they've eliminated any risk and just collect the juice
In almost every case, you're exactly right. They still have to account for huge amounts of money coming in from people who make a living betting games. Not saying a fan can look at an 8 and a half point spread and guarantee a victory, but I'd MUCH rather my favorite team be a nearly 10 point favorite than dog.
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