re: Alabama's chances to win the West

I've played this out in my head like 50 times this week, and the most likely scenario in which I see Bama winning the West (and more importantly a playoff spot assuming they beat the SECe rep) is something like this:
Ala: Has to win out.
A&M: Must beat Ole Miss; lose to Alabama.
Ark: Must lose to Alabama.
Aub: Would be nice to have them undefeated prior to the Iron Bowl, but a loss to A&M would be permissable in this scenario.
LSU: Must lose to Alabama.
MsSt: Must lose to Auburn, Alabama.
OM: Must lose to Auburn and A&M.

This is extremely wishful thinking. All that said, I hope if Bama is going to be knocked out of the race that it's sooner rather than later.