re: Aggy lube to help dawgs who've clearly ground to a halt.

1) I doubt many people who aren't direct fans are making straight bets on this game. It's a complete toss up and likely one team will run away with it. Most of the bets including this game will likely be parlay bets. So it's not likely that the spread has any real semblance of where Vegas stands on the game.

I doubt a specific fambase will bet just to change a line, but a small minority can change a line that is proven especially in college football.

Never trust a Vegas spread that is less than 3.5 to be an accurate predictor -- it means the game is too close to call so they couldn't even predict a win by a FG, that the team with home field gets a point or two, and that a small minority could have made straight bets and actually moved the line a point or two.