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LSU-Mizzou 2013: Who wins and why?

Posted on 8/1/14 at 11:43 pm
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10234 posts
Posted on 8/1/14 at 11:43 pm
This came up on another thread and I thought it was interesting. First let's look at the common opponents:

Ole Miss
Ole Miss 27, LSU 24 (Oxford)
Missouri 24, Ole Miss 10 (Oxford)

Auburn
LSU 35, Auburn 21 (Baton Rouge)
Auburn 59, Missouri 42 (Atlanta)

Texas A&M
LSU 34, A&M 10 (Baton Rouge)
Missouri 28, A&M 21 (Columbia)

Florida
LSU 17, Florida 6 (Baton Rouge)
Missouri 36, Florida 17 (Columbia)

Georgia
Georgia 44, LSU 41 (Athens)
Missouri 41, Georgia 26 (Athens)

Observations:
-Missouri did better against 3 of the common opponents; LSU did better against 2 of them.
-Average scores against the common opponents were LSU 30.2, OPP 21.6 and Mizzou 34.2, OPP 26.6.
-The transitive property has its limitations, but based on just the above it appears that LSU-Mizzou would have been a close game, with Mizzou having the edge on offense and LSU having the edge on defense.
-Mizzou seemed to hold up better on the road (Oxford, Athens) than LSU did.
-LSU's defense seemed to over-perform when playing at home (vs. Aub, vs. A&M, vs. Florida) relative to Mizzou.
-Based on the above, I think in an LSU-Mizzou 2013 matchup, whoever would be playing at home would be a slight favorite. A neutral site would be a pick 'em.
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
123832 posts
Posted on 8/1/14 at 11:46 pm to
Mett & Hill would have lit their arse up.
Posted by kilo
Member since Oct 2011
27447 posts
Posted on 8/1/14 at 11:47 pm to
Mizzou. Because Ealy, Golden, Sam and Ray.

Mizzou 27-24 on the road. Mizzou 34-17 at home.

Next question.
This post was edited on 8/1/14 at 11:49 pm
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42746 posts
Posted on 8/1/14 at 11:51 pm to
Does LSU have to play us first? If so, Mizzou.
Posted by JCinBAMA
North of Huntsville
Member since Oct 2009
17590 posts
Posted on 8/1/14 at 11:54 pm to
Mizzou suppose to have the next messiah at QB.
So i would go with LSU we all know how this ends.
Posted by broadcaster
Maurepas
Member since Sep 2013
2685 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 12:03 am to
LSU!!! Ole miss game 3 first half Int's or it wouldn't have been close. Georgia game Odell's fumbled punt and Georgia was at full strength, Georgia's team was no where near at full strength!!!
Posted by BreakawayZou83
Kansas City, Missouri
Member since Oct 2011
9536 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 12:22 am to
I'll stay out of this LSU circlejerk. You guys would suck your own dicks if you could.
Posted by BASED
yamamma the OG
Member since May 2012
3354 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 12:25 am to
I'm sorry but I don't think mizzou comes within 2 TDs of LSU. Just my opinion obviously
Posted by GCTiger11
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Jan 2012
45213 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 12:29 am to
I have no doubt in my mind we would have beaten Mizzou by at least two scores.
Posted by UncleBlazer
Member since Jan 2013
3333 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 12:37 am to
Mizzou would have a better chance in Baton Rouge than LSU would in Columbia
Posted by ChexMix
Taste the Deliciousness
Member since Apr 2014
25494 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 12:38 am to
Its 2014. Thank God football season is less than a month away
Posted by Recruitingjunkie
Member since Jan 2014
3059 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 12:57 am to
LSU this year. last year Mizzou. Michael Sam would have tried to play with your Left tackles butt hole in a pile up.
This post was edited on 8/2/14 at 1:00 am
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
35059 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 12:59 am to
Lsu. Both teams would put up plenty of offense but I could see hill having a huge game leading to mett having a solid game. If played at lsu it'd be double digits. But at Missouri would be a close game.
Posted by LSUANDY25
Frisco
Member since Dec 2012
3087 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 9:02 am to
I agree with your line predictions. Mizzou was good and had a special team last year. They wouldve presented us a great challenge without a doubt.
Why Mizzou and not a different team?
Posted by wadewilson
Member since Sep 2009
36724 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 1:46 pm to
We would have worked Mizzou over in Baton Rouge. Weak, undersized line would have did them in.

It would have looked like the LSU-Auburn game.
Posted by Cumulonimbus
Alabama
Member since Jun 2014
623 posts
Posted on 8/2/14 at 5:01 pm to
LSU lost to a healthy Georgia. LSU lost to a depleted Ole Miss.

Missouri beat an unhealthy Georgia, yes. What about Ole Miss?

LSU was Auburn's 4th game; they had a new coaching staff and were still shaking off the aftereffects of a 3-9 season. Missouri was Auburn's 13th game. It's not fair to compare the results of games that were about 2 months apart. Auburn fans have posted that their offense thrives in a dome, see the 2010 SEC Championship. Auburn was firing on all cylinders especially after knocking off the two-time defending national champions in historical fashion the previous week; that team was high. Auburn hadn't even made their identity when they played LSU; they weren't playing Top 10 football then.
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