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re: A very honest and good article on Richt

Posted on 7/6/14 at 5:14 pm to
Posted by Chris_topher
Member since Sep 2012
7674 posts
Posted on 7/6/14 at 5:14 pm to
If you average the last 15 years of recruiting, UGA prolly ranked #1 overall... prolly be outside of the top 5 after the past few years but will remain solidly in the top 10 under Richt.
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25886 posts
Posted on 7/6/14 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

If you average the last 15 years of recruiting, UGA prolly ranked #1 overall.

People have run those stats, and no we don't. USC, Texas, and probably Bama by now are ahead of us.

Basically, this articles premise stems from his statistic that UGA is 4-13 against SEC teams that finish above .500 over the last six years.

That stat looks bad, and it is, but it's not as bad as it seems. All four of the wins have occurred in 2012 and 2013, so it's not a current problem. Basically, the writer is arguing that Richt should get fired now based on what happen three years ago, not the current state of the program.

The stat is even more stupid because a team is much less likely to finish with a winning conference record if UGA beats them since they will only be able to lose 2 more conference games. The stat naturally skews itself.

Basically, to break it down:

2008: lost two conference games to the two division winners, didn't play another team with a winning conference record.
2009: sucked
2010: sucked even more
2011: improved greatly, but lost the only opportunity against a winning SEC team.
2012: Beat UF, Vandy. Had a really good team overall.
2013: Beat USCe, LSU before injuries destroyed the season.

In summary of the writer's argument, our 2009 and 2010 teams sucked, so we should fire the coach in 2014.

Posted by Dawg in Beaumont
Athens
Member since Jan 2012
4494 posts
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

If you average the last 15 years of recruiting, UGA prolly ranked #1 overall


This is completely false. I hear it a lot from Tech fans but it's just not true. Don't get me wrong, we've under achieved at times, but a composite recruiting ranking over the past 15 years would probably have us around 5th or 6th.
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