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re: Score predictions: Alabama-LSU
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:44 pm to AllBamaDoesIsWin
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:44 pm to AllBamaDoesIsWin
quote:
Landry and OBJ? 71% and 73% of their career catches have been TDs or first downs.
Cooper and Norwood? 86% and 93% of their career catches have been first downs.
Norwood had six catches all go for either a first or TD against Tenn, so that gives him 66 career catches, 62 of which have moved the chains or scored. 94%.
why are we using career catches instead of the current season?
The LSU WRs vs Bama DBs is a matchup heavily in LSUs favor
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:46 pm to bmy
quote:As is the reverse
The LSU WRs vs Bama DBs is a matchup heavily in LSUs favor
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:53 pm to bmy
quote:
The LSU WRs vs Bama DBs is a matchup heavily in LSUs favor
Maybe against the CB that isn't Belue.
Deion has had a good season, and while he'll definitely get beat by either WR a few times, he should hold his own.
I can do this season, if you want. Interestingly enough I fricked up on his 2012 numbers when doing career, was off about about four catches it seems.
Kevin Norwood LINK
19 first downs, 3 TDs on 23 catches.
22/23=95.6% 96% rounded up
Amari Cooper LINK
13 first downs, 2 TDs on 20 catches
15/20=75%
Cooper has been gimped all year, but still.
Odell Beckham Jr. LINK
40 first downs. 8 TDs. 48 catches,
48/48=100%
Landry LINK
44 first downs, 8 TDs, 58 catches.
52/58=89.6%, 90%.
If you just go by this year, advantage goes to LSU's WRs in this category. Cooper has been gimped, but still he'd probably just be a couple of notches under Landry, so advantage probably LSU still.
Posted on 10/27/13 at 2:58 pm to bmy
quote:
The LSU WRs vs Bama DBs is a matchup heavily in LSUs favor
LSU's offense had become more conservative and relies too heavily on 4-5 guys.
Bama will blanket Landry and OBJ, blitz Mett and shut down the run. The offense stopped developing and has become easier to defend. The passes that worked early in the year will not work vs Bama.
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