re: BCS Game?

For that to happen, we would only have 1 loss, and bama, aTm and lsu would have to have 2 losses. This is an extremely unlikely scenario with too many dependent variables. Less than 10%

If we win out, uga still has to lose 2. I put the odds of them losing 2 games at 60-40, for them not to lose 2 conference games. I have a 90% confidence that they drop at least 1, their defense is worse than ours. From what I've seen from out team, we only have about a 30% chance to win out.

Altogether, I would think we are a 1 in 5 chance of winning out and making a BCS game.

We have a better shot of winning out and uga losing 2 SEC games, than we do to get in uf style.