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re: SEC Teams in NCAA Tournament

Posted on 2/18/13 at 1:53 pm to
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22382 posts
Posted on 2/18/13 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

Agree that Ole Miss is far from a lock


The SEC only has one lock right now. Mizzou isn't quite a bubble team at this point, but they aren't a lock either. Ole Miss is still in, but they don't have much margin for error or bad losses, which is why being handed that game at home against UGA was so huge for them. ALabama and Kentucky still have a shot, but are on the outside right now.
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 2/18/13 at 3:50 pm to
Records below are assuming teams win HOME games against teams in the bottom half of the current standings. It breaks down like this (Florida...you're in so I didn't do yours).

UK 19-8 with MU/@Ark/@UGA/UF.
OM 21-6 with @USC/@MSU/Bama/@LSU
UA 20-8 with @LSU/@UF/@OM
MU 19-7 with UF/@UK/@USC/Arky/@UT
Ark 18-9 with @UF/@LSU/UK/@MU

I would have penciled in UK with Noel but their path is obviously harder without him. Would beating UGA and winning 2 in the SECt(22 wins overall) get them in? They have the SOS etc. going for them.

Ole Miss seems to have the easiest path. Though they played no one OOC, record will be good enough to get in.

Bama doesn't have UK's SOS etc. so I think them winning one of those remaining games is a must, plus a couple SECt games.

If MU can win 3 of those 5 games, they're in regardless of SECt wins. @USC? Arky at home? Then what? Home court enough to beat Florida? Can they beat UK or UT on the road? If none of those 3 happen, a win or 2 in the SECt still gets MU in.

Arky, win all of them and you're in. Lose one and you probably need a couple of SECt wins. Lose 2 and you're NIT bound.
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