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re: 49ers open -3.5
Posted on 1/15/13 at 10:23 pm to VADawg
Posted on 1/15/13 at 10:23 pm to VADawg
Spread is based on public perception more than the actual metrics. SF is far more of a public team than ATL and just knocked off the second most public team (to NE). They don't want to overexpose themselves by taking too many bets on SF hense the inflated line. If this line truly rises to 4.5 the professional gamblers' loot will pour in on the birds.
1
Posted on 1/16/13 at 5:59 pm to cantseefade
1st, SF is a very good team.
however, SF is getting more love than they deserve. Kaepernick, rushed over 60 yds 2 times in the reg season. Also, the only 2 times Kaepernick threw the ball 30 or more times, SF lost.
Also, Kaapernick rushed 16 times vs GB, which he only avg 6 rushes per game in the reg season. So I think he will rush less and be unable to repeat the same performance.
His last 4 games (including playoffs) his completion % were: 56%, 52%, 57% and 54%(GB). Having a strong arm doesn't mean much when you aren't that accurate. He also hasn't passed over 300yds, his avg in reg season and in playoff is 234 yds/gm.
So if Kaepernick throws for 250yds and rushes for 70 yds and only has 3 total tds. I think we can hold F. Gore to under 100 w/ a td at the most....so I think we will score more than 28pts, so hopefully Kaepernick doesn't live up to the hype, and comes back to his reg numbers.
however, SF is getting more love than they deserve. Kaepernick, rushed over 60 yds 2 times in the reg season. Also, the only 2 times Kaepernick threw the ball 30 or more times, SF lost.
Also, Kaapernick rushed 16 times vs GB, which he only avg 6 rushes per game in the reg season. So I think he will rush less and be unable to repeat the same performance.
His last 4 games (including playoffs) his completion % were: 56%, 52%, 57% and 54%(GB). Having a strong arm doesn't mean much when you aren't that accurate. He also hasn't passed over 300yds, his avg in reg season and in playoff is 234 yds/gm.
So if Kaepernick throws for 250yds and rushes for 70 yds and only has 3 total tds. I think we can hold F. Gore to under 100 w/ a td at the most....so I think we will score more than 28pts, so hopefully Kaepernick doesn't live up to the hype, and comes back to his reg numbers.
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