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Phil Steele's forecast for Alabama-LSU
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:28 pm
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:28 pm
quote:
Since the BCS started in ‘98 no teams involved in the National Title game have played each other the following year but that will change here. There have been 3 OT matchups in the last 7 meetings and in the last 5 regular season games Bama has won 2 and scored 112 points while LSU has won 3 and scored 110 points. Miles is 3-3 vs Saban. Last year in the first meeting, Bama missed 4 FG’s and was intercepted at the 1 and the Tide lost at home in OT 9-6. The National Championship game was a beatdown with Bama having 384-92 yard and 21-5 FD edges. LSU did not even cross midfield until the middle of the 4Q. The #1 Tide continue to be the media’s bulletproof juggernaut after last week’s 38-7 win over Miss St but they did benefit from +3 TO’s. QB McCarron is averaging 211 ypg (69%) with an 18-0 ratio and is #1 in the NCAA in pass efficiency while the Tide D is #1 in most categories including allowing just 57 rush ypg (1.9) this year (72, 2.4 last year!). LSU does come in extremely confident off back-to-back wins over Top 25 teams SC and A&M as frosh RB Hill has back-to-back 100 yard games and the Tiger D once again is no slouch allowing just 243 total ypg (#3). The concern has to be QB Mettenberger who is avg 177 ypg (57%) with a 7-4 ratio. LSU does have significant schedule edge off a bye while the Tide is on its 3rd away in 4 games. Miles said after the win vs SC earlier this year that, “Death Valley is a place where opponents’ dreams come to die.” While I don't think Alabama's dream dies here, I do think this one will come down to the wire!
PHIL’S FORECAST: ALABAMA 17 LSU 16
15
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:30 pm to Bench McElroy
Wow, I thought it would be much worse to be honest
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:31 pm to Bench McElroy
Fair assessment. Should be a great game. Looking forward to elite competition and no injuries. 
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:32 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
Bama missed 4 FG’s and was intercepted at the 1 and the Tide lost at home in OT 9-6.
Must be a bama fan
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:33 pm to Bench McElroy
Yesterday he had LSU winning 17-16.
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:34 pm to Bench McElroy
There's going to be a lot of want in this game.
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:34 pm to Bench McElroy
I have no problem with him predicting Bama to win, seeing that it's very possible. It's the arrogant douchebags like that poster Bhamdore who says that there's no way Bama's held under 30 pts you can't have a civil conversation about the game with.
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:36 pm to Bench McElroy
Mr T's forecast for Alabama-LSU:
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:36 pm to Bench McElroy
Phil Steele showing respect, I like it.
Gonna be a good one.
His summary of game 1 last year was funny to read
Gonna be a good one.
His summary of game 1 last year was funny to read
quote:
Bama’s first possession got to the LSU27 but they missed a 44 yd FG. Bama’s 2nd poss got to the LSU23 but they lost 10 yds then missed a 50 yd FG. Bama got to the LSU24 but they lost 7 yds and brought in their short kicker to attempt a 49 yd’r but it was blk’d. Bama got to the LSU17 but settled for a 34 yd FG to lead 3-0. At this point Bama had a 181-55 yd edge but only led 3-0 and LSU, thanks to an offsides on 3&1 and a defensive holding on an incomplete pass on 3&4, would get a 19 yd FG on the final play of the half to tie it. LSU was int’d and ret’d to their 4 but a penalty brought it back to the 35 and Bama settled for a 46 yd FG, 6-3. LSU got a 33 yd IR to the UA15 setting up a 2 yd “drive” for a 30 yd FG to tie (14:13 4Q). Richardson ripped off a 24 yd run to the LSU28 and Bama had a great call. Maze, out of the shotgun, threw deep and the TE caught the ball, came down on his back with it at the 1 yd line but the LSU DB wrestled the ball away from him and amazingly it was ruled an int and LSU got off a 73 yd punt with 9:00 left but neither crossed the 50 and the game went to OT. In OT Bama took a sk and missed their FOURTH FG of the game, a 52 yd’r and LSU got a 25 yd FG for the win.
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:40 pm to Bench McElroy
Looking forward to another great game. McCarron and Bama have yet to face any real adversity this year. When chaos goes down in Death Valley, and it WILL happen, we will see how they handle it.
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:44 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
While I don't think Alabama's dream dies here, I do think this one will come down to the wire!
wow 1 point margin. that means it could go either way. good news for LSU
Posted on 10/31/12 at 2:45 pm to Bench McElroy
Classic LSU responses so far in this thread.
If we do win 17-16 Baton Rouge will burst into flames.
If we do win 17-16 Baton Rouge will burst into flames.
Posted on 10/31/12 at 3:05 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
PHIL’S FORECAST: ALABAMA 17 LSU 16
A prediction this close basically say's I have no fricking clue...
Posted on 10/31/12 at 3:10 pm to Bench McElroy
This guy USED to be good.now he is the fifth most accurate preseason magazine publisher. How is that Duran Carter think coming along.
Posted on 10/31/12 at 3:14 pm to Bench McElroy
quote:
ALABAMA 17 LSU 16
classic score.. so 3 TD's in the game.. mmmm..
Posted on 10/31/12 at 3:20 pm to Bench McElroy
I expect a great close game. Here is to no injuries!!
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