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re: More likely to beat Alabama this season, State or Texas A&M?

Posted on 10/26/12 at 9:41 am to
Posted by Loathor
Columbia, SC
Member since Jun 2012
2369 posts
Posted on 10/26/12 at 9:41 am to
Raw statistics? Yes it is. There are two possible outcomes for the this game. Win or lose. Each team has a fifty percent chance to win this game at this time. If they played this same game (same conditions, same roster, etc.) ten times and Alabama won the previous nine times, A&M/MSU still has a fifty percent chance to win the tenth. Predictions about the outcome may bend the odds in one teams favor to probably win the game, but not definitely. The only definite is that one wins and one loses.

But he was asking for opinion on the outcome. If someone thinks that neither A&M nor State have any chance to probably win the game then their answer is neither.
Posted by TeLeFaWx
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
29184 posts
Posted on 10/26/12 at 10:25 am to
quote:

Raw statistics? Yes it is. There are two possible outcomes for the this game. Win or lose. Each team has a fifty percent chance to win this game at this time. If they played this same game (same conditions, same roster, etc.) ten times and Alabama won the previous nine times, A&M/MSU still has a fifty percent chance to win the tenth. Predictions about the outcome may bend the odds in one teams favor to probably win the game, but not definitely. The only definite is that one wins and one loses.


No. If State has a ten percent chance to win the game, and they lose 9 in a row, they still have a ten percent chance to win the tenth game. You're a moron.
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