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re: More likely to beat Alabama this season, State or Texas A&M?

Posted on 10/26/12 at 8:08 am to
Posted by Gradual_Stroke
Bee Cave, TX
Member since Oct 2012
20917 posts
Posted on 10/26/12 at 8:08 am to
quote:

The answer most certainly can be neither, because your asking for opinions from random people. If someone believes that both teams have a zero percent chance to beat Alabama then their answer is neither. Also if you throw in the "any given Saturday" theory then both teams have a fifty percent chance to win (two teams, one winner), so their answer would be that neither team is more likely to win.



This isn't how statistics work.
Posted by Loathor
Columbia, SC
Member since Jun 2012
2369 posts
Posted on 10/26/12 at 9:41 am to
Raw statistics? Yes it is. There are two possible outcomes for the this game. Win or lose. Each team has a fifty percent chance to win this game at this time. If they played this same game (same conditions, same roster, etc.) ten times and Alabama won the previous nine times, A&M/MSU still has a fifty percent chance to win the tenth. Predictions about the outcome may bend the odds in one teams favor to probably win the game, but not definitely. The only definite is that one wins and one loses.

But he was asking for opinion on the outcome. If someone thinks that neither A&M nor State have any chance to probably win the game then their answer is neither.
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