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re: Betting Trends- 73% of betting public taking State +24
Posted on 10/25/12 at 11:30 am to engie
Posted on 10/25/12 at 11:30 am to engie
You explain to me why Vegas would make that the line. We can play a little game of Scores and points. State beat UT by 10 at home, Bama beats them by 31 on the road. 21 point swing give Bama 3 for being at Home. DYSWIDT? not saying its the case but there is a reason they think Bama is a 24 fav , because they are!
Posted on 10/25/12 at 11:35 am to Roll Damn Tide
They made Bammer a 24 pt favorite because the betting public overvalues Bammer at home. That's why Bammer is 1-5 in their last 6 home games against the Spread. They can put a big ridiculous number up and still get dumbasses to bet on Bammer
This post was edited on 10/25/12 at 11:36 am
Posted on 10/25/12 at 12:07 pm to Roll Damn Tide
quote:
You explain to me why Vegas would make that the line. We can play a little game of Scores and points. State beat UT by 10 at home, Bama beats them by 31 on the road. 21 point swing give Bama 3 for being at Home. DYSWIDT? not saying its the case but there is a reason they think Bama is a 24 fav , because they are!
We have been over this already, the line isn't set on what Vegas thinks will happen. It is set on what Vegas thinks the mean bet will be.
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