Latest ESPN Bubble Watch, SEC down to 5 max?

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Today's update. Obviously Kentucky and Florida are locks, with Vandy almost certainly getting a bid. Only other SEC schools mentioned are Alabama and Mississippi St.

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Alabama [17-9 (6-6), RPI: 33, SOS: 19] A win over the 2011-12 Tennessee Volunteers rarely qualifies as "huge," but it did for Alabama this past weekend. The Crimson Tide were playing without their best two players. Tennessee was hot. The makings of a bubble-bursting loss were all there. But Bama got the short-handed win anyway. On Monday, coach Anthony Grant announced that he had suspended Tony Mitchell for the remainder of the season but would reinstate JaMychal Green. That's good news, because despite Alabama's solid computer numbers, a late-season, suspension-riddled slide could have been viewed as prohibitive by the committee. We'll see how Grant's team finishes up.

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Mississippi State [19-8 (6-6), RPI: 54, SOS: 87] What on Earth happened to Mississippi State? The Bulldogs were chugging along in SEC play, looking solid if imperfect, when out of the blue, they started stacking bad losses. The first came at home to Georgia. The second came at LSU, which is understandable if not desirable. But it looked even worse after Saturday, when Rick Stansbury's team lost 65-55 at Auburn. Huh? The Bulldogs still have that win at Vanderbilt to fall back on, but the best nonconference win -- West Virginia -- doesn't look so great these days, and the computer numbers (particularly that sub-180 nonconference schedule) don't speak highly of this team, either. With the steamroller that is Kentucky coming to town Tuesday night, Arnett Moultrie & Co. need to figure it out. And quickly.

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