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re: #1 LSU vs #3 Ark .. (LSU by 12 ½.) ......
Posted on 11/23/11 at 12:54 pm to MOT
Posted on 11/23/11 at 12:54 pm to MOT
I should have worded 'with Vegas' different.
I don't have the energy to debate it though. My stance is that if you were to simply throw all the 14+ pt home favorites in a moneyline parlay, you would lose more than you win. Whole point being, 2 TD favorites lose all the time. All-The-Time.
That doesn't mean that Vegas is stupid, that LSU will lose to Arkansas or that I'm some sort of authority of gambling.
I don't have the energy to debate it though. My stance is that if you were to simply throw all the 14+ pt home favorites in a moneyline parlay, you would lose more than you win. Whole point being, 2 TD favorites lose all the time. All-The-Time.
That doesn't mean that Vegas is stupid, that LSU will lose to Arkansas or that I'm some sort of authority of gambling.
1
Posted on 11/23/11 at 1:06 pm to woopiginaustin
I see where you are coming from, but the general idea is upsets happen every week. You're going to lose most big parlays regardless of whether you bet on favorites, dogs, or a combination of the two. That's just because of the odds and that's why the payout increases with every game you add.
But all in all, if you take the straight up winning % of 2 TD favorites it is much, much higher than 2 TD dogs.
But all in all, if you take the straight up winning % of 2 TD favorites it is much, much higher than 2 TD dogs.
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