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This is a Dead Heat

Posted on 10/25/11 at 9:25 pm
Posted by golftigers
Mandeville
Member since Nov 2003
2513 posts
Posted on 10/25/11 at 9:25 pm
With all due respect to the Crimson Kool Aid drinkers and the Purple and Gold Glasses, this game is a toss up.

Both teams have beaten UF and UT by nearly identical margins, one home and one away. Of the remaining opponents stacking them head to head by best to worst opponent:

1. Oregon > Arkansas
2. WVU (Push) Penn State
3. Aub > Vandy
4. Miss St > Ole Miss
5. Kentucky > N. Texas
6. NW State (Push) Kent St

So while I give the tougher schedule to LSU, this is nullified by home field advantage for Bama.

QB - Push
RB - Adv Bama
WR - Adv LSU
O Line - Push
D Line - Adv LSU
LB - Adv Bama
CB - Adv LSU
S - Adv Bama

Coach - I think Saban is the best in the business, but I don't think this is a huge advantage in this game.

Since Bama's first game, neither team turns the ball over.

Only way this is not a knock-down, drag out, extremely close game is if one team turns it over 2-3 times.

Now time for my objective P&G Glasses: LSU wins 20-17

Only scenario I can see where LSU would win more handily is with a couple of early turnovers. IF Bama turns it over more than once I say LSU by 9
Posted by Swoopin
Member since Jun 2011
22031 posts
Posted on 10/25/11 at 9:28 pm to
I'm of the opinion that Saban is the best coach in the country at building a roster and getting them ready for gameday.

As far as actually during the game, I'm not nearly as high on him.
Posted by labamafan
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2007
24266 posts
Posted on 10/25/11 at 9:29 pm to
afraid like their coach sometimes does the players may come
in tight not wanting to make mistakes as well. I see that as an advantage for LSU. Saban is a different man but he will never be that loose fun guy; it just isn't his personality. Close game but hopefully Bama by three thanks to a raucous crowd.
Posted by NATidefan
Two hours North of Birmingham
Member since Dec 2008
36165 posts
Posted on 10/25/11 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

golftigers


On paper it should be a close game, that is low scoring. However, things hardly ever go the way you think they will. Too close to call IMO for sure.

It's who prepares well, shows up ready to play, keeps playing hard, doesn't let up, and doesn't make mistakes that will win this game.

If one team does all of these way more than the others, it could be a blow out. If they both do it poorly, it could be a close sloppy game. If they both do it well it could be a great close game. If one does all or some of these things just a little better than the other, then it could be a 7-10 point game.
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