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re: LSU +8.5 vs Bama
Posted on 11/2/09 at 2:32 pm to FightinTiga
Posted on 11/2/09 at 2:32 pm to FightinTiga
spreads are made to get roughly equal action on both sides based on the general public's perception of how good the two teams are, it is not, in any way, a tool used to predict the winner.
The sole exception on this is when Vegas gets more money on one side (at least 60% of it) yet makes it easier for people to bet on that team (moving the line away from them, thus giving them more points or making them less of a favorite. In THAT case, you can bet vegas knows something and the team everyone is betting on is likely to lose. These are the games they make their money, they just try to break even in every other game.
The sole exception on this is when Vegas gets more money on one side (at least 60% of it) yet makes it easier for people to bet on that team (moving the line away from them, thus giving them more points or making them less of a favorite. In THAT case, you can bet vegas knows something and the team everyone is betting on is likely to lose. These are the games they make their money, they just try to break even in every other game.
This post was edited on 11/2/09 at 2:45 pm
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