Started By
Message

Best home field advantage last 5 years in the SEC

Posted on 5/15/24 at 3:55 pm
Posted by WildcatMike
Lexington, KY
Member since Dec 2005
42235 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 3:55 pm


Posted by NFLSU
Screwston, Texas
Member since Oct 2014
16708 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 3:59 pm to
Aggy would be 25-6 if they hadn't put Appalachian State on the schedule
Posted by Lucado
Member since Nov 2023
3497 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:04 pm to
OU and Texas haven't been in the SEC the last five seasons.
Posted by diddlydawg7
2x Best Poster Elite 8 (2x Sweet 16
Member since Oct 2017
28360 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:07 pm to
This is kinda misleading. We haven’t played a ton of teams that finished the year top 10 in that span other than Notre Dame in ‘19, Tennessee in ‘22, and Ole Miss & Mizzou in ‘23

I went pretty in depth on this in the fall LINK

Hasn’t been updated since October but here’s the data:

Since 2017

Overall
1. Alabama: 80-9 (.899)
2. Georgia: 79-10 (.888)
3. LSU: 59-25 (.702)
4. Kentucky: 52-30 (.634)
5. Texas A&M: 50-29 (.633)
6. Florida: 49-32 (.605)
7. Auburn: 47-34 (.580)
8. Miss St: 46-36 (.561)
9. Ole Miss: 43-35 (.551)
10. Mizzou: 43-36 (.544)
11. Tennessee: 42-36 (.538)
12. South Carolina: 39-40 (.493)
13. Arkansas: 29-49 (.372)
14. Vanderbilt: 23-54 (.299)

At Home
1. Georgia: 39-1 (.975)
2. Alabama: 38-2 (.950)
3. LSU: 33-7 (.825)
4. Auburn: 33-10 (.767)
5. Florida: 32-10 (.762)
6. Kentucky: 33-12 (.733)
7. Texas A&M: 32-12 (.727)
8. Mizzou: 31-15 (.674)
9. Miss St: 31-15 (.674)
10. Ole Miss: 29-15 (.659)
11. South Carolina: 27-16 (.628)
12. Tennessee: 28-17 (.622)
13. Arkansas: 21-23 (.477)
14. Vanderbilt: 16-27 (.372)

Road/Neutral
1. Alabama: 42-7 (.857)
2. Georgia: 40-9 (.816)
3. LSU: 26-18 (.591)
4. Texas A&M 18-17 (.514)
5. Kentucky: 19-18 (.513)
6. Florida: 17-22 (.436)
7. Tennessee: 14-19 (.424)
8. Miss St: 15-21 (.417)
9. Ole Miss: 14-20 (.412)
10. Auburn: 14-24 (.368)
11. Mizzou: 12-21 (.364)
12. South Carolina: 12-24 (.333)
13. Arkansas: 8-26 (.235)
14. Vanderbilt: 7-27 (.206)

Change in Win Pct
1. Auburn (+.399)
2. Florida (+.326)
3. Mizzou (+.310)
4. South Carolina (+.295)
5. Miss St (+.257)
6. Ole Miss (+.247)
7. Arkansas (+.242)
8. LSU (+.234)
9. Kentucky (+.220)
10. Texas A&M (+.213)
11. Tennessee (+.198)
12. Vanderbilt (+.166)
13. Georgia (+.159)
14. Alabama (+.093)



The above is an awful metric to evaluate this for a number of reasons. Obviously SOS is one factor. Rent-a-wins too. Also, in the case of the teams who have been elite in this span like Georgia and Alabama, the change in win pct can't be very high when the overall win pct is already .800+. We must go deeper.


At home vs Top 25
1. Georgia: 9-0 (1.000)
2. Alabama: 10-2 (.833)
3. Florida: 5-2 (.714)
4. LSU: 9-4 (.692)
5. Auburn: 7-7 (.500)
5. Texas A&m: 7-7 (.500)
7. Kentucky: 4-5 (.444)
8. Miss St: 5-9 (.357)
9. Ole Miss: 4-8 (.333)
10. Tennessee: 4-9 (.308)
11. Arkansas: 3-11 (.214)
12. Mizzou: 2-8 (.200)
13. Vandy: 2-12 (.143)
14. South Carolina: 1-11 (.083)

Road/Neutral vs Top 25
1. Alabama: 19-7 (.731)
2. Georgia: 19-9 (.679)
3. LSU: 11-10 (.524)
4. Miss St: 5-9 (.357)
5. Tennessee: 5-11 (.313)
6. Kentucky: 4-10 (.286)
7. Texas A&M: 3-9 (.250)
7. Ole Miss: 3-9 (.250)
9. Mizzou: 2-8 (.200)
10. South Carolina: 3-12 (.200)
11. Auburn: 4-17 (.190)
12. Florida: 3-14 (.176)
13. Arkansas: 2-16 (.111)
14. Vandy: 0-10 (.000)

Change in Win Pct vs Top 25
1. Florida (+.538)
2. Georgia (+.321)
3. Auburn (+.310)
4. Kentucky (+.258)
5. Texas A&M (+.250)
6. LSU (+.168)
7. Vandy (+.143)
8. Arkansas (+.103)
9. Alabama (+.102)
10. Ole Miss (+.083)
11. Mizzou (.000)
12. Miss St (.000)
13. Tennessee (-.005)
14. South Carolina (-.117)



And also Top 10:


At home vs Top 10
1. Georgia: 5-0 (1.000)
2. Florida: 3-1 (.750)
3. LSU: 6-3 (.666)
4. Alabama: 1-1 (.500)
4. Texas A&M: 4-4 (.500)
6. Auburn: 4-5 (.444)
7. Kentucky: 1-4 (.200)
8. Ole Miss: 1-5 (.167)
9. Miss St: 1-6 (.143)
10. South Carolina: 1-7 (.125)
10. Tennessee: 1-7 (.125)
12. Mizzou: 0-3 (.000)
13. Arkansas: 0-6 (.000)
14. Vandy: 0-8 (.000)

Road/Neutral vs Top 10
1. Alabama: 11-4 (.733)
2. LSU: 8-5 (.615)
3. Georgia: 11-7 (.611)
4. South Carolina: 2-5 (.286)
5. Florida: 2-8 (.200)
6. Miss St: 1-5 (.167)
7. Ole Miss: 1-5 (.167)
8. Texas A&m: 1-6 (.143)
9. Tennessee: 1-7 (.125)
10. Arkansas: 1-8 (.111)
11. Auburn: 1-13 (0.071)
12. Mizzou: 0-6 (.000)
13. Vandy: 0-7 (.000)
14. Kentucky: 0-8 (.000)

Change in Win Pct vs Top 10
1. Florida (+.550)
2. Georgia (+.389)
3. Auburn (+.373)
4. Texas A&M (+.357)
5. Kentucky (+.200)
6. LSU (+.051)
7. Miss St (+.024)
8. Mizzou (.000)
8. Ole Miss (.000)
8. Tennessee (.000)
8. Vandy (.000)
12. Arkansas (-.111)
13. South Carolina (-.161)
14. Alabama (-.233)



This is better but there are still a few problems with the metrics above. Sample size, aforementioned issues. To scoring margin we go.


Scoring Margin vs Top 25 at home
1. Georgia (+21.1)
2. Alabama (+15.4)
3. Florida (+4.1)
4. Auburn (+1.9)
5. Kentucky (+1.1)
6. LSU (-0.3)
7. Texas A&M (-0.5)
8. Miss St (-7.9)
9. Tennessee (-12.3)
10. Ole Miss (-12.4)
11. Arkansas (-14.6)
12. Mizzou (-15.1)
13. South Carolina (-17.3)
14. Vanderbilt (-26.6)

Scoring Margin vs Top 25 on road/neutral
1. Alabama (+9.8)
2. Georgia (+6.4)
3. LSU (+0.1)
4. Florida (-11.0)
5. South Carolina (-11.0)
6. Auburn (-11.1)
7. Texas A&M (-11.8)
8. Tennessee (-12.6)
9. Kentucky (-13.6)
10. Miss St (-14.2)
11. Ole Miss (-15.1)
12. Arkansas (-15.1)
13. Mizzou (-19.0)
14. Vandy (-27.8)

Change in Margin for Home/Away vs Top 25
1. Florida (+15.1)
2. Georgia (+14.7)
3. Kentucky (+14.7)
4. Auburn (+13.0)
5. Texas A&M (11.3)
6. Miss St (+6.3)
7. Alabama (+5.6)
8. Mizzou (+3.9)
9. Ole Miss (+2.7)
10. Vandy (+1.2)
11. Arkansas (+0.5)
12. Tennessee (+0.3)
13. LSU (-0.4)
14. South Carolina (-6.3)



Scoring Margin vs Top 10 at home
1. Georgia (+19.0)
2. Alabama (+6.0)
3. Florida (+5.0)
4. Texas A&M (+0.6)
5. LSU (0.0)
6. Auburn (-0.2)
7. Kentucky (-7.5)
8. Mizzou (-12.3)
9. Miss St (-17.6)
10. Arkansas (-18.2)
11. Ole Miss (-18.3)
12. South Carolina (-22.4)
13. Tennessee (-24.0)
14. Vandy (-38.1)


Scoring Margin vs Top 10 on road/neutral
1. Alabama (+7.9)
2. Georgia (+3.4)
3. LSU (+3.2)
4. South Carolina (-11.7)
5. Florida (-12.3)
6. Auburn (-15.6)
7. Texas A&M (-16.4)
8. Tennessee (-20.6)
9. Miss St (-21.3)
10. Arkansas (-23.7)
11. Ole Miss (-25.8)
12. Kentucky (-30.4)
13. Mizzou (-30.7)
14. Vandy (-30.8)

Change in Margin for Home/Away vs Top 10
1. Kentucky (+22.9)
2. Mizzou (+18.4)
3. Florida (+17.3)
4. Texas A&M (+16.9)
5. Georgia (+15.6)
6. Auburn (15.4)
7. Vandy (+7.7)
8. Ole Miss (+7.5)
9. Arkansas (+5.5)
10. Miss St (+3.7)
11. Alabama (-1.9)
12. LSU (-3.2)
13. Tennessee (-3.4)
14. South Carolina (-10.7)



In some cases the sample size is too low for vs top 10, but I think we can get a good consensus by looking at all the metrics combined.

Best Home Field Advantages since 2017
1. Florida
2. Kentucky
3. Georgia
4. Auburn
5. Texas A&M
6. LSU
7. Mizzou
8. Miss St
9. Alabama
10. Vandy
11. Ole Miss
12. Arkansas
13. Tennessee
14. South Carolina
Posted by Jebadeb
Member since Oct 2017
5186 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:16 pm to
Pretty solid for LSU considering 20-21
Posted by JetDawg
Los Angeles/USC Trojans fan/alum
Member since Oct 2020
8233 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:17 pm to
All I gotta say about that graph is Texas and OU are going to find out first-hand what it's like to "play on the road" week-in and week-out in this league. It will not be another day in Romper Rooom Land as they've enjoyed for their histories.
This post was edited on 5/15/24 at 4:18 pm
Posted by Lucado
Member since Nov 2023
3497 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

We haven’t played a ton of teams that finished the year top 10 in that span


Posted by KingOfTheWorld
South of heaven, west of hell
Member since Oct 2018
5974 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

Aggy would be 25-6 if they hadn't put Appalachian State on the schedule


If you’re swapping a loss for a win, it’s 26-6, dumbass.
Posted by CNB
Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2007
97977 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

Aggy would be 25-6 if they hadn't put Appalachian State on the schedule


I am certain they would've played somebody else in their place
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
56661 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:49 pm to
quote:

Road/Neutral vs Top 25
1. Alabama: 19-7 (.731)
2. Georgia: 19-9 (.679)
3. LSU: 11-10 (.524)
4. Miss St: 5-9 (.357)
5. Tennessee: 5-11 (.313)
6. Kentucky: 4-10 (.286)
7. Texas A&M: 3-9 (.250)


Aggie must be killing it in neutral site games because they haven't won a road game vs a ranked team since 2014.


Posted by NFLSU
Screwston, Texas
Member since Oct 2014
16708 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

KingOfTheWorld

quote:

If you’re swapping a loss for a win, it’s 26-6, dumbass

Look, we all know how much Gump fans like being in Aggy's mouth, but that's no excuse for being a dumb frick.

I didn't swap shite, little boy.

What if Aggy would have lost to Appalachian State on the road or at a neutral site..? Their home record in the last 5 years would be 25-6.

Dumb frick.
Posted by Kenny Loftin
Member since Apr 2024
330 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

All I gotta say about that graph is Texas and OU are going to find out first-hand what it's like to "play on the road" week-in and week-out in this league. It will not be another day in Romper Rooom Land as they've enjoyed for their histories.
Tell me about it. Could you imagine if any of those teams had to play in Tuscaloosa in 2023? They would've been SLAUGHTERED, right? Right???

Oh... well, at least Bama had a bad year and lost multiple games against other SEC opponents, right? Right???

Oh...
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26000 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

Tell me about it.


He did.

It isn't about 1 week anymore.

You hit "submit" too quickly.
Or your reading comprehension is on a Kenny Lofton level.
Posted by NFLSU
Screwston, Texas
Member since Oct 2014
16708 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 5:43 pm to
quote:

Tell me about it. Could you imagine if any of those teams had to play in Tuscaloosa in 2023? They would've been SLAUGHTERED, right? Right???

No wonder Texas smoked cigars after a win in Week 2
Posted by JetDawg
Los Angeles/USC Trojans fan/alum
Member since Oct 2020
8233 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 6:10 pm to
Excellent work, Diddly!!
Posted by TouchdownTony
Central Alabama
Member since Apr 2016
10204 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 10:40 pm to
Frick that auburn record. That is Bama’s worst place to visit and it isn’t close.
Posted by Kenny Loftin
Member since Apr 2024
330 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:24 am to
quote:

He did.

It isn't about 1 week anymore.
Good point. Texas actually had a tougher strength of schedule last year than all but one SEC team (which was Alabama). So if they can smack that team around, you’re telling me it’s actually about to be easier for Texas?

Good to know!
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
15839 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:29 am to
A ton of the biggest games have been played on neutral sites. That quickly changes the math.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26000 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:05 am to
quote:

you’re telling me it’s actually about to be easier for Texas?


If you think this season is easier, why are you coming into the SEC?

You underestimate the weekly toll that these games are going to take on your depth. SOS doesn't touch on the grind at all. These games are won in the trenches. There isn't an SOS component for that. As a matter of fact, many teams are weaker by seasons end (affecting their impact on the SOS).

Feel free to throw shite against the wall like your screen name seems to do so often. I'm looking forward to the season.
Posted by AtlantaLSUfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2009
23932 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:14 am to
Florida and Auburn are the most impressive considering total wins versus dominating at home. That’s a legit home field advantage.
Page 1 2 3 4
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 4Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow SECRant for SEC Football News
Follow us on Twitter and Facebook to get the latest updates on SEC Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitter