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Posted on 5/7/24 at 10:53 am to Traceg03
RPI in the 20's with 13 sec wins will get ya in. I would say win one in hoover just to be safe.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:01 am to Traceg03
quote:
I am just curious as to what y'all think LSU has to do to make the field of 64.
Win 2/3 at Bama
Win 2/3 vs. Ole Miss
Finish 13-17 and that may be enough. To make sure, it may not be a bad idea to sweep one of those teams.
On the flip side, if LSU loses either of those series I think that cannot be overcome to make the field of 64.
quote:
weak out of conference schedule the highlight wins would probably be Texas and ULL at Minute Maid
Yea, pretty weak. LSU's non conference SOS is 147
quote:
Also how many SEC teams do y'all think make it overall? 10?
Kentucky, Arkansas, Tennessee, South Carolina, aTm, Georgia, and Miss State are all tourney locks.
We will really have to see how Vandy (11-13), Florida (10-14), Alabama (10-14), LSU (9-15) finish the season.
So 7 locks right now...a few of the teams above play one another...Alabama and LSU series loser may be peckered.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:45 am to BigDickRick16
quote:
am just curious as to what y'all think LSU has to do to make the field of 64
quote:
Get on their knees and start sucking off the selection committee, soon.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:48 am to Traceg03
LSU has to win 2/3 against both Alabama and Ole Miss. they do that, with what their RPI would be, they should get in
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:48 am to cjohn
quote:
If you get to 14, you have a really good shot.
They’d be a lock w 14 wins
This post was edited on 5/7/24 at 11:51 am
Posted on 5/7/24 at 1:23 pm to Traceg03
Probably similar to A&M 2023's path to the tournament:
-14 conference wins
-Multiple wins in Hoover
-2 seed out west
-14 conference wins
-Multiple wins in Hoover
-2 seed out west
Posted on 5/7/24 at 2:39 pm to Farmer1906
quote:I tend to agree, but it would probably be best if the four wins came in the form of a series win at Bama and series win hosting Ole Miss rather than one at Bama and sweeping Ole Miss. In case of the latter, doing some damage at Hoover might be in order.
4 more conference wins and I think you’re in assuming there isn’t a large # of bid stealers.
14 and there is no question.
LSU will be an interesting regional team. They've got the pitching to win the first two games, it's what happens after that which is in question. Whoever draws them as a 1 will be under a lot of pressure to hold their ace for game 2, so just as important as where LSU is sent might be the four seed that goes to that regional (a weak one allowing the host to hold their ace for a potential winner's bracket game against LSU).
Posted on 5/7/24 at 3:38 pm to twk
quote:
doing some damage at Hoover might be in order.
the committee has kind of shown in recent years they don't care about what happens in Hoover. For instance, in 2021 LSU was squarely on the bubble with a 13-17 SEC record. They went 0-1 in Hoover, still got an invite. Ole Miss in 2022, squarely on the bubble with a 14-16 SEC record, goes 0-1 in the SECT, still gets in. 2019, Florida had a 13-17 SEC record, squarely on the bubble, went 0-1 in the SECT, still got in. In 2017, South Carolina went 13-17 in the SEC, made it to the semi-finals of the SECT, and did not get a bid.
The committee looks at it like they probably should. Winning a couple of games in the SECT, where some teams aren't even trying to win, shouldn't be given much weight over what you did the rest of the season where everyone was trying to win. IMO, conference tournaments should be largely ignored outside the auto-bid for winning it.
This post was edited on 5/7/24 at 3:51 pm
Posted on 5/7/24 at 4:06 pm to lsufball19
I mostly agree with you, the committee doesn't usually put much weight on the tournament. But, when they are looking for a rationale to support what they want to do, they will occasionally cite tournament results. All I'm saying is that it might matter how LSU reaches 4-2 (winning both series, versus sweeping one and salvaging a split in the other), and, in the case of the latter, conference tournament results might be helpful to committee members looking to make a case for LSU. If they win both series, then that's 5 SEC series wins which would speak pretty loudly. Four SEC series wins, with two being against Missouri and Auburn, might require a resume booster in Hoover.
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