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re: SEC FB Returning Production Defense SP+
Posted on 2/15/24 at 2:38 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 2/15/24 at 2:38 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
When teams lose 90% of their roster to the portal/NFL after a coaching change and replace it with 9 portal guys.........they are basically turning over the entire defense.
Seems like Alabama turned over a lot of the defense a few times under Saban without dropping very far. When you have a system, and the coaches in place to implement the system, turnover means less.
quote:
But the current returning production formula Connelly uses treats all those incoming guys from other places as if they were at A&M the year before.
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Posted on 2/15/24 at 2:40 pm to WildTchoupitoulas
quote:
Seems like Alabama turned over a lot of the defense a few times under Saban without dropping very far. When you have a system, and the coaches in place to implement the system, turnover means less.
Yes, agree. And his overall SP+ formula accounted for all that, because the other part of the equation that mattered as much as returning production was recruited talent.
The transfer portal, especially with teams that are making mass changes in personal after coaching changes, makes it extremely difficult to predict with a formula.
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