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I thought the UA/UM line would move

Posted on 12/31/23 at 7:46 pm
Posted by Silver Hood
Member since Dec 2023
206 posts
Posted on 12/31/23 at 7:46 pm
It opened with UM favored and that has not changed.

I thought the line would move to favor Bama. What does Vegas know?
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
6836 posts
Posted on 12/31/23 at 7:47 pm to
Analytics/metrics favor Michigan. For what that’s worth
Posted by Diego Ricardo
Alabama
Member since Dec 2020
6021 posts
Posted on 12/31/23 at 7:49 pm to
AI-led betting is favoring Blue; humans favor Alabama.
This post was edited on 12/31/23 at 7:49 pm
Posted by StopRobot
Mobile, AL
Member since May 2013
15459 posts
Posted on 12/31/23 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

It opened with UM favored and that has not changed.

I thought the line would move to favor Bama. What does Vegas know?


It opened Michigan -2.5 and is Michigan -1.5 now so it has moved. As mentioned the computer models have Michigan winning at like 61% chance so thats why
Posted by momentoftruth87
Member since Oct 2013
72772 posts
Posted on 12/31/23 at 8:36 pm to
Mich stats skewed by weaker conf and running it up on nobody’s. Bama may look like they had a meh season but literally every week everyone plays their best to try and beat them.

Posted by Silver Hood
Member since Dec 2023
206 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 5:01 pm to
Now we know why the line did not move.
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