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re: CFP prediction

Posted on 12/1/23 at 12:09 am to
Posted by Litigator
Hog Jaw, Arkansas
Member since Oct 2013
7536 posts
Posted on 12/1/23 at 12:09 am to
quote:

If Michigan, Washington, and FSU all win and we lose, I think some people need to start mentally preparing that we don't make the playoffs. I'd be more than happy to eat crow on that but we have 9 years of black and white data to go on and that data shows we'd be out.

I think this is exactly right. The best scenario is for Georgia to just win and they are in as the #1 seed. If Bama wins then Georgia would get in over any other 1 loss team other than Bama and that is because Georgia would have the best resume among any of the 1 loss teams. But if you wind up with the 3 undefeated teams winning this weekend then they would be in along with a 1 loss Bama team. So at least 1 of those 3 undefeated teams would need to lose this weekend for Georgia to get in if Georgia were to lose to Alabama.

However it goes you could wind up with at least 2 teams not making it that would at least have a legitimate claim to being in the playoffs.
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