re: I HATE to tell you guys, but Bama is out unless some wierd stuff happens.

I'm not worried about FSU. The committee should put Bama in ahead of them.

So you have Michigan and Washington in if they win, and that's fine.

So there's 2 spots. If Bama wins you'd have:

13-0 FSU
12-1 SEC Champ Bama
12-1 SEC loser UGA
12-1 Big12 Champ Texas
11-2 Pac12 loser Oregon

In that case Bama is in as the 4th seed at worst. FSU winning a weak conference without their best player isn't getting in over a 12-1 SEC Champ.