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re: Aggies vs Crimson Tide - Stat Comparison
Posted on 10/3/23 at 4:02 pm to Tantal
Posted on 10/3/23 at 4:02 pm to Tantal
quote:
The spreadsheet can't account for Bond bouncing one off of the upright. His numbers were 4" away from being dead-on.
True, he also missed another one by about 2 feet... and we went for the last TD 4 times instead taking a FG to end it...
Also, with all the weird no-calls, two pick sixes, and a PR touchdown (even though I called that in the notes)... it was pretty lucky to come so close...
I never even really pay much attention to the formula predictions, that's just some formula I wrote out in excel using predictive analysis and trends based on a business forecasting formula from my master's degree... tweaked for football analysis of course. I wrote it two different ways using slight variations on the variables and the constants/weights of certain advanced stat categories.
Even though the formula predicts an A&M Loss, reading the side-by-side stats and taking into account a home game, mid-day, implications of the game for a successful year for A&M, Milroe's observed performance (vs his stats, which are actually pretty good)... gotta say I think A&M will pull it off like 27-23 or 23-17...
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