re: Teams with legit shot to win CFP every year

There's a clear and discernable pattern concerning programs that have won national championships since the turn of the century. Each national champion (with the exception of 2000 Oklahoma) has at least one Top 10 recruiting class on its roster. That means the following teams are the only ones to have a shot in 2023:

Alabama
Georgia
Texas
Miami
LSU
Oklahoma
Ohio State
Notre Dame
USC
Tennessee
Texas A&M
Penn State
Michigan
Clemson
Oregon
Auburn