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re: Georgia I Mean this as No Disrespect: Is Tennessee +9 the Easiest Play in History?
Posted on 11/2/22 at 11:16 am to NukemVol
Posted on 11/2/22 at 11:16 am to NukemVol
quote:
This was said in the Bama spread thread, the LSU thread, etc. Vegas got their lunch eaten both times. Maybe this time they'll be right.
People don't understand how gambling works. You try to get a slight edge and let it play out over large numbers.
Card counting only gives you about a 50.5 to 51% edge. Over a short period, you can lose a lot, but over a year or two years, you should be in the black.
Again, they know they'll "get their lunch eaten" a lot. They're just playing those 55 percent odds over the long haul.
Posted on 11/2/22 at 11:47 am to koreandawg
But the line often moves where the money moves. If they are trying to outsmart the public by not moving the line, they lost. And it's a trend for Tennessee this year. I don't think it's indefensible. A look at talent and recent experience says Georgia rolls. But this Tennessee team is riding a pretty good ride right now. If I was Vegas, I'd start tightening the line.
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