re: Georgia I Mean this as No Disrespect: Is Tennessee +9 the Easiest Play in History?

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What am I missing?

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I learned this from a guy who gambles for a living. His only job. Mainly bet on sports but did hit the casinos and count cards ever so often.

He said Vegas bets on games as well. Most of the time they're trying to get even money on games, but if they spot where a national narrative and belief has two teams closer than where they should be, they'll try to exploit it and make it look like "the easiest play in history".

I'm not saying that's what is going on here. They've moved this spread down a point and a half. But 80% of the bets are going UT. Don't know if the money is that far off.

BTW, it's not like they win their bets 100 percent of the time. He said they are right somewhere between 52 to 55% of the time any given year. So, that'd still mean there's a good chance they are wrong even if they feel UGA will win comfortably.