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Returning production for SEC teams in 2022…

Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:49 am
Posted by Dude20
Member since Oct 2020
542 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:49 am
NIL and recruiting aside…..Is this the biggest potential indicator for how the season plays out? Experience vs Talent?

And I’m curious…Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?

1) Miss. State - 78%
2) Tennessee - 75%
3) South Carolina - 73%
4) Kentucky - 68%
5) Alabama - 67%
6) Vanderbilt - 67%
7) Missouri - 66%
8) Auburn - 65%
9) Arkansas - 64%
10) LSU - 64%
11) Ole Miss - 60%
12) Georgia - 59%
13) Texas A&M - 56%
14) Florida - 55%

LINK
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11225 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:51 am to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


Because they're at the point where people expect them to reload like Bama
Posted by Tuscaloosa
11x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
46797 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


Because they play in an extremely weak division and recruit at a high level. They’re basically the Clemson of the SEC East.
This post was edited on 7/8/22 at 11:53 am
Posted by TrumpedUpVol
Member since Sep 2020
584 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 11:52 am to
quote:

And I’m curious…Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


What they return is great and the missing production is being replaced by blue chip talent.
Posted by jcolding41
Member since Sep 2015
5694 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:10 pm to
Let’s do some historical analysis.

SECRant 2021 rewind

quote:

OVERALL (Natl Rank)
1. Ole Miss (22)
2. LSU (30)
3. Mississippi St (34)
4. Arkansas (39)
5. Auburn (54)
6. Missouri (56)
7. Vanderbilt (78)
8. Georgia (92)
9. Kentucky (98)
10. Texas A&M (99)
11. Florida (108)
12. Alabama (110)
13. Tennessee (117)
14. South Carolina (124)

OFFENSE (Natl Rank)
1. Georgia (20)
2. Missouri (27)
3. LSU (30)
4. Ole Miss (44)
5. Vanderbilt (50)
6. Auburn (60)
7. Mississippi State (62)
8. Arkansas (67)
9. Kentucky (87)
10. South Carolina (102)
11. Tennessee (103)
12. Texas A&M (120)
13. Florida (125)
14. Alabama (126)

DEFENSE (Natl Rank)
1. Arkansas (15)
2. Mississippi State (16)
3. Ole Miss (20)
4. Alabama (41)
5. LSU (44)
6. Texas A&M (57)
7. Auburn (62)
8. Florida (67)
9. Missouri (89)
10. Kentucky (97)
11. Vanderbilt (102)
12. Tennessee (107)
13. South Carolina (124)
14. Georgia (126)
This post was edited on 7/8/22 at 12:14 pm
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
33162 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


This is about where we were heading into 2021.

Some say we were pretty good in 2021
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
64511 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:21 pm to
8/11 starters on defense are in the NFL now from UGA's team last year. The last time that happened was going from 2012/2013 with Todd Grantham running the show. Grantham was not able to reload and relied on many freshmen and redshirt freshmen in 2013 and it was awful. This time around, Kirby is running the show and has a lot more talent to reload than Richt or Grantham ever did. Can the defense be "generational" again? Probably not, otherwise we'd have to redefine what "generational" means.

The offense, however, shouldn't miss a beat. The offense could be even better than last year, to offset the defense not being quite as good, but still in the elite class.

I'm not predicting another NC, but UGA is still the clear favorite to win the East again.
Posted by Krampus
Member since Nov 2018
5207 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:23 pm to
Useless stat without additional info.

QBs account for a huge amount of offensive production whether they're good or not-so-good.

Any team that replaces a QB will take a huge hit in returning production. The question then is are you replacing a good QB with a bad one, or a bad one with a good one?
Posted by STATEofMIND
Member since Oct 2012
4252 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:24 pm to
If we can learn to be consistent then we will surprise many.
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
49419 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?

Because they have for every year since 2017 minus 2020 which was a really fricking weird season for everyone minus Bama
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25901 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

And I’m curious…Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?

Because Georgia has way better players than the other East teams
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11584 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 12:49 pm to
Other than

Georgia
Alabama
Kentucky
Ole Miss
Arkansas

The rest of the teams want to be much better than last year. If you were 7-6 or 6-7 in 2021, do you really want the same players playing?

Experience counts for something, but if it is mediocre or bad experience, it is not really wanted.
Posted by JayAg
Member since Jun 2021
10282 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 10:06 pm to
For us, we had several 5th year seniors too, we have like 2 more cycles where the players have 5 years of eligibility? That’s a dynamic that gets forgotten about, reliable 22 year olds help
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37669 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 10:06 pm to
Because the East is shite
Posted by ALA2262
Cumming, GA
Member since Jun 2016
1683 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


This will help. Easiest schedule in the SEC according to Phill Steele.

THE SEC

Toughest: AUBURN (No. 1 nationally)

Easiest: GEORGIA (No. 58 nationally)

Defending national champion Georgia does open the season vs. Oregon in Atlanta but draws Mississippi State as its rotating opponent from the wild SEC West, thereby avoiding Alabama, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, and LSU all together. The Bulldogs also get the benefit of drawing Tennessee, which may finally be positioned to vie for an East division crown, at home.

LINK /

Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
22780 posts
Posted on 7/8/22 at 10:56 pm to
Heading into 2021 UGA was ranked 111th in returning production, Bama was ranked 120th. I’d say this isn’t a good indication of anything.
Posted by BrotherDawg84
Member since Dec 2020
3103 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 5:44 am to
quote:

And I’m curious…Why is it assumed Georgia will win the East/play in SECCG this year?


You pay much attention to recruiting rankings?
Posted by koreandawg
South Korea
Member since Sep 2015
9101 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 6:14 am to
The weirdness of this is that an OU fan is asking this question.

But we've won this division four of the past five seasons. Do you think the 2017 team and the 2021 team were the same guys?

Posted by Golfer1
Naples, FL
Member since Jan 2021
4685 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 9:37 am to
Prior to the transfer portal returning production meant a good deal unless that production sucked.

With the transfer portal returning production means very little if anything
Posted by Pulpwood Patterson
Member since Dec 2017
1799 posts
Posted on 7/9/22 at 10:13 am to
Georgia recruits defensive players better than anybody. They also typically have a top 10 OL.

They’ll have a top 20 defense again this year and the best offense they’ve had under Kirby. And they’ll be a 2 TD favorite over every team on their schedule.
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