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Hypothetical playoff scenario
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:03 am
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:03 am
I know we're going 15-0 and it doesn't matter but which scenario more likely gets us into the playoff...
Going 10-2 losing to LSU and Clemson but beating Alabama and winning the West and SEC title
or
11-1 losing to Alabama and not making it to Atlanta
Going 10-2 losing to LSU and Clemson but beating Alabama and winning the West and SEC title
or
11-1 losing to Alabama and not making it to Atlanta
7
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:06 am to RandySavage
If we lose 1 and its to Alabama, preventing us from going to SEC CG, that means Bama is in it and #1 in the country. Either scenario, I think we are in, but for sure in #2 - especially if the loss to Bama is close.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:09 am to RandySavage
Well based off last year it's 11-1. Going to Atlanta doesn't mean shite to the committee
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:11 am to Weagle25
quote:
Going to Atlanta doesn't mean shite to the committee
The act of going to Atlanta means nothing, the boost of playing another ~top25 opponent at a neutral site does though
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:18 am to RandySavage
quote:
11-1 losing to Alabama and not making it to Atlanta
This is not an option.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:19 am to RandySavage
quote:
Going 10-2 losing to LSU and Clemson but beating Alabama and winning the West and SEC title
We would still get in here. You're talking wins against #1 bama, a top 10 UGA, and then beating the SEC E champion again who would be in top 10.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:24 am to RandySavage
Just look at Penn State last year. Won the Big 10, had two losses, and Ohio State went in the playoffs (even thought Penn State beat them head-to-head).
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:55 am to AUtigR24
quote:
a top 10 UGA, and then beating the SEC E champion again who would be in top 10.
A lot of assumptions here. Did you see the games last weekend? I could easily see a 4 loss East champion.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:58 am to RandySavage
UGA won't be top 10
Posted on 9/7/17 at 9:16 am to RandySavage
quote:This.
I could easily see a 4 loss East champion.
That division is completely wide open. Mizzou is probably the only team without a realistic shot at the title. UGa would definitely have to be the odds-on favorite right now, but would have to win it with a true FR starting QB and a largely inexperienced OL. And who knows if Chubb will hold up for the entire year.
I'm guessing the East winner will probably be 9-3 and ranked around #15 or lower. But an 8-4 team in the SECCG wouldn't be out of the question. Hell, UF could theoretically go 5-3 in Conference play and win the tiebreakers, and end up in ATL 7-5 and unranked.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 9:26 am to FearlessFreep
quote:
Hell, UF could theoretically go 5-3 in Conference play and win the tiebreakers, and end up in ATL 7-5 and unranked.
This scenario is why I don't like the talk of an 8 team playoff with 5 conference winners and 3 at-large. Imagine a 7-5 FL winning the SECCG and getting an automatic bid in the playoffs. Is Florida really one of the best 8 teams? Highly unlikely. Besides, in the three years the playoff has been running, only two teams had any business being there.
To answer OP's question, I think the 10-2 scenario would only play out if Clemson went undefeated, and LSU had a good record as well. Plus, the losses would need to be close.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 9:29 am
Posted on 9/7/17 at 9:47 am to FearlessFreep
quote:
Mizzou is probably the only team without a realistic shot at the title.
But, yeah, it's definitely the 1-loss scenario that's more likely.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:01 am to RandySavage
we're going to beat Bama. I've never been more sure of anything.
Only games I've thought we could lose were Clemson and LSU. And today I think we win both of those games. Because our D will rattle Clemson's QB, and because LSU just isn't that good
Only games I've thought we could lose were Clemson and LSU. And today I think we win both of those games. Because our D will rattle Clemson's QB, and because LSU just isn't that good
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:27 am to RandySavage
quote:
Going 10-2 losing to LSU and Clemson but beating Alabama and winning the West and SEC title
Committee showed last year, you don't get in like this.
quote:
11-1 losing to Alabama and not making it to Atlanta
If we can't make it to Atlanta, we don't deserve to be in the playoffs. And we won't get in like this anyways.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:41 am to CaptainBrannigan
quote:
Committee showed last year, you don't get in like this.
Except that Penn State only had two ranked Ws + lost to an unranked team + blown out by >5TDs to Michigan
Auburn would likely have minimum 3 ranked wins maybe 4. Our Ls would be to top 10-15 teams on road at least and no blowouts
I don't think we'd make it, but we would stand a much better shot than PSU
quote:
we can't make it to Atlanta, we don't deserve to be in the playoffs. And we won't get in like this anyways.
We almost for sure make it in if it is a close loss and Bama goes undefeated
Only way to miss is if Pac12/Big12 have undefeated teams
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:09 pm to GenesChin
NM
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 12:11 pm
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:49 pm to Weagle25
Their are three active hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin for the first time since 2010. Coincidence... I don't think so. We going to win the ship'.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:13 pm to CaptainBrannigan
quote:
Committee showed last year, you don't get in like this.
Penn State didn't get in like that but they didn't play @Clemson, @LSU, UGA, Bama etc...
They lost to Pitt and by 39 to Michigan. If we played those two games close and still lost and won the SEC ending on what would be like a 6 game win streak with a win over #1 bama I don't see us getting left out.
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