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re: I think you guys beat Georgia- here is why
Posted on 10/15/14 at 8:04 pm to DawgNation4
Posted on 10/15/14 at 8:04 pm to DawgNation4
If he is we have a bigger problem.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 9:41 pm to Porter Osborne Jr
Doggy Douche Alert... See 2 posts above!
Posted on 10/15/14 at 10:23 pm to Razorback Reverend
You need to pray for this man RR.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 9:11 am to Litigator
quote:
Statistical fallacy, my friend. The probability of an independent event is not affected by past results.
Dang nabbit Sultan you beat me to it.
I honestly don't have a clue what happens with the Georgia game. We could roll right over them if we put up 4 quarters of good football. They could blow us off the field if they get up a few scores and we panic.
I suspect it will be a close game, we are still figuring out how to win and Georgia has looked shaky at times this season. It may very well come down to who makes the fewest foul ups.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 9:14 am to Arksulli
agree. Nobody is winning this game by double digits IMO. Granted I thought the same thing with missouri but they've turned out to be pretenders. I really wish arkansas was 5-1, or at least would've won last week, so people wouldn't be downplaying this matchup.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 9:31 am to WG_Dawg
Here's a great break down of the keys to the game for Arkansas.
Get the Picture
1. Win the turnover battle
2. Fewer than 15 yards per point
3. Win the spike rate
4. Win field position
5. Hold UGA below a 33% success rate on the run
Get the Picture
1. Win the turnover battle
2. Fewer than 15 yards per point
3. Win the spike rate
4. Win field position
5. Hold UGA below a 33% success rate on the run
Posted on 10/16/14 at 1:08 pm to Porter Osborne Jr
I really think the key to the game will be the QB play with respect to the short/play action type passes. As hyped as both rushing attacks have been as they admittedly should be, I just don't see this game panning out where either team is going to be able to run at will on the other although I expect both teams to enjoy success running the ball.
Obviously Georgia wants to to duplicate last week with Mason hitting the short passes and underneath type stuff as he did so successfully. The game plan from the Missouri game should be Georgia's blueprint for this one and I can almost guarantee that's what the plan will be. Of course it works with or without Gurley in the line-up.
IMO Arkansas will have to adopt a similar approach utilizing our backs and tight ends and to some degree our WRs to catch the short passes and at times Allen has been successful in doing that. It will be important to incorporate that into the game plan early on and to not get into a situation where he is forced to pass to keep them in the game.
I think both defenses are playing solid now which is partially why I don't believe it can simply be a smash mouth type game over the whole course of it.
I don't think turnovers and costly penalties come into play because on the whole both teams have been relatively free from that, the aTm game notwithstanding. Of course it's college football so you never know.
Again I think the QB play will be the key and with each being somewhat inconsistent over the course of the season it will all come down to a matter of execution which won't be known until the game is played Saturday.
All of the normal game week talk aside most fans on here that expressed an opinion on the matter, in calmer and more reflective moments, had this game as a W for Georgia. LINK I believe the game will be more competitive than what I would have thought going into the season not because Georgia isn't doing as well as I thought (I had them at one loss at this point which is where they are) but because Arkansas has been able to improve the other facets of the game to compliment what we knew would be a stellar rushing game. All that being said I still see Georgia winning by a margin of 7-10 points although admittedly I wouldn't be shocked to see Arkansas win the game.
Obviously Georgia wants to to duplicate last week with Mason hitting the short passes and underneath type stuff as he did so successfully. The game plan from the Missouri game should be Georgia's blueprint for this one and I can almost guarantee that's what the plan will be. Of course it works with or without Gurley in the line-up.
IMO Arkansas will have to adopt a similar approach utilizing our backs and tight ends and to some degree our WRs to catch the short passes and at times Allen has been successful in doing that. It will be important to incorporate that into the game plan early on and to not get into a situation where he is forced to pass to keep them in the game.
I think both defenses are playing solid now which is partially why I don't believe it can simply be a smash mouth type game over the whole course of it.
I don't think turnovers and costly penalties come into play because on the whole both teams have been relatively free from that, the aTm game notwithstanding. Of course it's college football so you never know.
Again I think the QB play will be the key and with each being somewhat inconsistent over the course of the season it will all come down to a matter of execution which won't be known until the game is played Saturday.
All of the normal game week talk aside most fans on here that expressed an opinion on the matter, in calmer and more reflective moments, had this game as a W for Georgia. LINK I believe the game will be more competitive than what I would have thought going into the season not because Georgia isn't doing as well as I thought (I had them at one loss at this point which is where they are) but because Arkansas has been able to improve the other facets of the game to compliment what we knew would be a stellar rushing game. All that being said I still see Georgia winning by a margin of 7-10 points although admittedly I wouldn't be shocked to see Arkansas win the game.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 1:58 pm to Litigator
quote:
All that being said I still see Georgia winning by a margin of 7-10 points although admittedly I wouldn't be shocked to see Arkansas win the game.
I can see Georgia winning by 7 but only if we have lead the entire game and spontaneously combust in the 4th quarter. If neither team gets on track and blows out the other I think its a FG that decides it. Which is a bit scary given our kicking.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:31 pm to Arksulli
Yes we definitely don't want the game to hinge on place kicking.
Posted on 10/16/14 at 2:58 pm to Litigator
I got a feeling Hogs are going to tear dogs a new one.
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