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re: Let's Talk About Washington....
Posted on 12/28/16 at 9:23 pm to UAgrad93
Posted on 12/28/16 at 9:23 pm to UAgrad93
I pousted this in another thread....
Here is their game against USC cut down to just the plays: 30 min video
My take:
WA:
Be mindful of their short and intermediate passing routes.
Ross, cover him and don't kick off to him.
Make their QB move. (more on this)
QB is accurate on deep balls with feet set. Make him move and hit him so that we get into his head and make that internal clock jump forward a second. Just like Arkansas.
Their backs suck at pass protection.
Their D-line is only effective with stunts and blitzes
AL:
OJ should feast. Their pass D is soft in the middle. (LBs are having to support run D constantly)
Run straight at them and mix in outside pitches to keep LBs honest.
Their punt return team is suspect.
If they hit 50+ yards rushing I will be pissed.
ETA: Damn I wished we would have gotten Adore Jackson.
Here is their game against USC cut down to just the plays: 30 min video
My take:
WA:
Be mindful of their short and intermediate passing routes.
Ross, cover him and don't kick off to him.
Make their QB move. (more on this)
QB is accurate on deep balls with feet set. Make him move and hit him so that we get into his head and make that internal clock jump forward a second. Just like Arkansas.
Their backs suck at pass protection.
Their D-line is only effective with stunts and blitzes
AL:
OJ should feast. Their pass D is soft in the middle. (LBs are having to support run D constantly)
Run straight at them and mix in outside pitches to keep LBs honest.
Their punt return team is suspect.
If they hit 50+ yards rushing I will be pissed.
ETA: Damn I wished we would have gotten Adore Jackson.
This post was edited on 12/28/16 at 10:21 pm
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Posted on 12/28/16 at 10:15 pm to Commander Data
That number 10 rating was before they lost the two best players in their front 7. Mathis their stud DE was a potential top 10 pick at DE. The Lb they lost was leading tackler and best blitzes from Lb position.
Posted on 12/29/16 at 8:24 am to CrimsonFlounder
I think I posted this a few weeks ago, but it bears repeating
Jake Browning vs Top 40 Defenses (Per S&P)
#11 Colorado : 9/24 (37.5%), 118 Yards (4.9 YPA), 2 TD/0 INT
#13 USC : 17/36 (47.2%), 259 Yards (7.2 YPA), 1 TD/2 INT
#19 Stanford : 15/21 (71.4%), 210 Yards (10.0 YPA), 3 TD/0 INT
#38 Utah : 12/20 (60.0%), 186 Yards (9.3 YPA), 2 TD/1 INT
TOTAL : 53/101 (52.5%), 193 YPG (7.7 YPA), 8 TD/3 INT
EVERY OTHER GAME : 170/252 (67.5%), 279 YPG (10.0 YPA), 34 TD/3 INT
They have destroyed mediocre/bad defenses because Browning is clearly very good when he has a clean pocket, time and clean routes to throw to (plus Peterson is a fantastic coach), but against the best defenses, when things get tighter and the pocket isn't as clean, he has struggled quite a bit.
Quite frankly, people keep saying this will be our "toughest QB test" of the season.........I just don't think that's true. Most complete offense? Perhaps, but I don't think Browning is as good as the version of Chad Kelly we saw, nor do I think he is as good under the pressure we will bring as Austin Allen was.
Jake Browning vs Top 40 Defenses (Per S&P)
#11 Colorado : 9/24 (37.5%), 118 Yards (4.9 YPA), 2 TD/0 INT
#13 USC : 17/36 (47.2%), 259 Yards (7.2 YPA), 1 TD/2 INT
#19 Stanford : 15/21 (71.4%), 210 Yards (10.0 YPA), 3 TD/0 INT
#38 Utah : 12/20 (60.0%), 186 Yards (9.3 YPA), 2 TD/1 INT
TOTAL : 53/101 (52.5%), 193 YPG (7.7 YPA), 8 TD/3 INT
EVERY OTHER GAME : 170/252 (67.5%), 279 YPG (10.0 YPA), 34 TD/3 INT
They have destroyed mediocre/bad defenses because Browning is clearly very good when he has a clean pocket, time and clean routes to throw to (plus Peterson is a fantastic coach), but against the best defenses, when things get tighter and the pocket isn't as clean, he has struggled quite a bit.
Quite frankly, people keep saying this will be our "toughest QB test" of the season.........I just don't think that's true. Most complete offense? Perhaps, but I don't think Browning is as good as the version of Chad Kelly we saw, nor do I think he is as good under the pressure we will bring as Austin Allen was.
This post was edited on 12/29/16 at 8:28 am
Posted on 12/29/16 at 9:05 am to Triple Daves
Yeah, Browning panics under pressure. Saw another stat that shows he has a QBR of 43 when pressured. Against Colorado he was pressured over 60% of his drop backs. That was with a strong run game working. If anyone thinks CU has the front 7 of Bama, I want some of what they are smoking.
Posted on 12/29/16 at 10:43 am to CrimsonFlounder
im worried about their passing attack.
Peterson is a hell of a coach and has had 4 weeks to scheme against us.
I expect they'll chip away at us with back shoulder throws and quick outs to mitigate our pass rush. They've had 4 weeks to work on the timing over and over again, on top of the chemistry they've developed over the past 2 seasons.
Then they'll hit us with Ross' speed on an out and up.
Peterson is a hell of a coach and has had 4 weeks to scheme against us.
I expect they'll chip away at us with back shoulder throws and quick outs to mitigate our pass rush. They've had 4 weeks to work on the timing over and over again, on top of the chemistry they've developed over the past 2 seasons.
Then they'll hit us with Ross' speed on an out and up.
Posted on 12/29/16 at 10:53 am to CrimsonTideMD
For us, I'm hoping that the 4 weeks has our front seven rested with fresh legs, making us even faster on the pass rush.
Also hoping 4 weeks has given Kiffin enough time to figure out that their D is giving up an average 3.5 yards per play on the ground. And 3.5 + 3.5 + 3.5 > 10
Also hoping 4 weeks has given Kiffin enough time to figure out that their D is giving up an average 3.5 yards per play on the ground. And 3.5 + 3.5 + 3.5 > 10
Posted on 12/29/16 at 11:34 am to Triple Daves
Hurts stats for comparison to Browning:
Hurts vs. Top 40 Defenses Per S&P:
#4 LSU: 10/19 (52.6%), 107 Yards (5.63 YPA), 0 TD/1 INT, 20 rushes, 114 yards, 1 TD
#7 Auburn: 27/36 (75%), 286 yards (7.94 YPA), 2TD/2 INT, 12 rushes, 37 yards, 1 TD
#8 Florida: 11/20 (55&), 138 yards (6.9 YPA), 1 TD/0 INT, 8 rushes, 1 yard
#13 USC: 6/11 (54.5%), 118 yards (10.7 YPA), 2 TD/1 INT, 9 rushes, 32 yards, 2 TD
#35 WKU: 23/36 (63.9%), 287 yards (7.97 YPA), 2 TD/0 INT, 11 rushes, 19 yards
#37 ATM: 15/25 (60%), 164 yards (6.56 YPA), 2 TD/2 INT, 21 rushes, 93 yards, 1 TD
Total: 92/147 (62.5%), 1100 yards (183 YPG, 7.48 YPA), 9 TDs /6 INTs, 296 yards rushing (49.3 YPG), 5 TDs
EVERY OTHER GAME: 128/190 (67.3%), 1492 yards (213 YPG, 7.85 YPA), 13 TD/ 3 INT, 545 yards (78 YPG), 7 TDs
A dropoff for sure, but not terrible. 30 less yards per game throwing, 30 less yards rushing, and more INTs.
It is interesting that Hurts is as effective as Browning vs. good defenses though.
Hurts vs. Top 40 Defenses Per S&P:
#4 LSU: 10/19 (52.6%), 107 Yards (5.63 YPA), 0 TD/1 INT, 20 rushes, 114 yards, 1 TD
#7 Auburn: 27/36 (75%), 286 yards (7.94 YPA), 2TD/2 INT, 12 rushes, 37 yards, 1 TD
#8 Florida: 11/20 (55&), 138 yards (6.9 YPA), 1 TD/0 INT, 8 rushes, 1 yard
#13 USC: 6/11 (54.5%), 118 yards (10.7 YPA), 2 TD/1 INT, 9 rushes, 32 yards, 2 TD
#35 WKU: 23/36 (63.9%), 287 yards (7.97 YPA), 2 TD/0 INT, 11 rushes, 19 yards
#37 ATM: 15/25 (60%), 164 yards (6.56 YPA), 2 TD/2 INT, 21 rushes, 93 yards, 1 TD
Total: 92/147 (62.5%), 1100 yards (183 YPG, 7.48 YPA), 9 TDs /6 INTs, 296 yards rushing (49.3 YPG), 5 TDs
EVERY OTHER GAME: 128/190 (67.3%), 1492 yards (213 YPG, 7.85 YPA), 13 TD/ 3 INT, 545 yards (78 YPG), 7 TDs
A dropoff for sure, but not terrible. 30 less yards per game throwing, 30 less yards rushing, and more INTs.
It is interesting that Hurts is as effective as Browning vs. good defenses though.
Posted on 12/29/16 at 12:26 pm to Kcoyote
Good stuff. Washington's offensive numbers as a whole are very pedestrian vs those 4 defenses.
I think the biggest key is turnovers. If we commit them, they'll have a shot. If not, I feel pretty good.
I think the biggest key is turnovers. If we commit them, they'll have a shot. If not, I feel pretty good.
Posted on 12/29/16 at 2:13 pm to Triple Daves
Posted on 12/29/16 at 3:13 pm to BlackPawnMartyr
Guy just can't catch the bus
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