re: Alabama Basketball Recruiting and Offseason Talk

I think the best and most likely class for us at this point is some combination of Fleming, Woodard, Butler or Richardson. I could see us signing 2 or 3 this year. I guess we are still recruiting Khavon Moore, Diante Wood and Trey Jemison (now at Hoover) too. It's definitely narrowed down now. Will probably be into October at least before we get any commits. Woodard has already suggested he may wait until spring to sign.

LINK

schedule

looks like they did away with those Thurs night games

(Tue 11/14) Lipscomb
(Fri 11/17) Ala A&M
(Tue 11/21) UT Arlington
(Wed 11/29) La Tech
(Sun 12/3) U Cen Fla
(Wed 12/6) Rhode Island
(Fri 12/22) #24 Texas in Bham
(Sat 12/30) A&M
(Tues 1/9) S Carolina
(Wed 1/17) Auburn
(Sat 1/20) MSU
(Sat 1/27) Oklahoma
(Wed 1/31) Missouri
(Sat 2/10) Tennessee
(Tue 2/13) LSU
(Sat 2/24) Arkansas
(Tue 2/27) Florida

not to mention one of our good Sat games on a day many can't make it.

Full Schedule

11/10 vs Memphis (Annapolis, MD)
11/14 Lipscomb
11/17 Alabama A&M
11/21 UT Arlington
11/24 vs BYU (Brooklyn, NY)
11/25 vs Minnesota (Brooklyn, NY)
11/29 Louisiana Tech
12/3 Central Florida
12/6 Rhode Island
12/9 @Arizona
12/19 vs Mercer (Huntsville, AL)
12/22 Texas (Birmingham, AL)
12/30 Texas A&M
1/2 @Vanderbilt
1/6 @Georgia
1/9 South Carolina
1/13 @LSU
1/17 Auburn
1/20 Mississippi State
1/23 @Ole Miss
1/27 Oklahoma
1/31 Missouri
2/3 @Florida
2/6 @Mississippi State
2/10 Tennessee
2/13 LSU
2/17 @Kentucky
2/21 @Auburn
2/24 Arkansas
2/27 Florida
3/3 @Texas A&M

3/7-3/11 SEC Tournament (St. Louis, MO)

Maybe even less than 20. Vandy got in fairly comfortably at 19-15 last year. Assuming Texas, Oklahoma, and the SEC as a whole improve like most expect, our schedule would be pretty similar to theirs.

Wins in bold

11/10 vs Memphis (Annapolis, MD) 1-0
11/14 Lipscomb 2-0
11/17 Alabama A&M 3-0
11/21 UT Arlington 4-0
11/24 vs BYU (Brooklyn, NY) 5-0
11/25 vs Minnesota (Brooklyn, NY) 5-1
11/29 Louisiana Tech 6-1
12/3 Central Florida 7-1
12/6 Rhode Island 7-2
12/9 @Arizona 7-3
12/19 vs Mercer (Huntsville, AL) 8-3
12/22 Texas (Birmingham, AL) 9-3
12/30 Texas A&M 10-3 (1-0)
1/2 @Vanderbilt 10-4 (1-1)
1/6 @Georgia 11-4 (2-1)
1/9 South Carolina 12-4 (3-1)
1/13 @LSU 13-4 (4-1)
1/17 Auburn 14-4 (5-1)
1/20 Mississippi State 15-4 (6-1)
1/23 @Ole Miss 15-5 (6-2)
1/27 Oklahoma 16-5 (6-2)
1/31 Missouri 17-5 (7-2)
2/3 @Florida 17-6 (7-3)
2/6 @Mississippi State 17-7 (7-4)
2/10 Tennessee 18-7 (8-4)
2/13 LSU 19-7 (9-4)
2/17 @Kentucky 19-8 (9-5)
2/21 @Auburn 19-9 (9-6)
2/24 Arkansas 20-9 (10-6)
2/27 Florida 20-10 (10-7)
3/3 @Texas A&M 20-11 (10-8)

Gotta play the best to get our deserved 1 seed

That's why I have us going the same conference record despite having a much better roster.

It's not like our schedule last year was the only reason we had a decent conference record though because we didn't even do that well against the bottom teams.

6-2 against 11-14
3-3 against 5-10
1-3 against 1-4

We were what you'd expect an average team to be. .500 against the middle, wins most against the bottom, and losses most against the top.

quote:

---

Gene already predicted an AU sweep of BAMA on their board.

---

Ya, I'll predict it here too I never said I'm super confident on it, just that I personally think it will happen

People don't realize just how shitastically good Auburn was. We lost 6-7 games where we had a win probability of 75%+, 4 games w 90+%

That says two things, 1) Auburn talent/ability was significantly better than their record 2) Auburb coaching/players can't put together a full game

If you buy into experience improvement fixing the second thing, it is easy to see a huge jump for AU. We return basically everyone + add two top~50 recruits that have gotten high praise



Sure it probably is a more homer bias prediction, but you can easily justify it from matchup, last year's results and buying the hype

quote:

---

TomRoll

---

Ya a 10-8 record would be great w that schedule and deserving of a betterSEC seed than if say AU went 11-7

With how cyclicalSEC teams are in BBall it is pure luck how tough your schedule is

quote:

---

They either shot the lights out or they lost. There wasn't too much in between

---

I'm not trying to start something about AU in here either, but I will just point out that 11/18 wins we shot less than 37% 3FG including most of our "bigger name" wins over TxTech (31% 3FG), OU, UConn (22.7% 3FG), TCU (26.7% 3FG)

Except for Bama, our best games were when we played better inside

quote:

---

I don't really get how not closing out games

---

I should clarify, those are "In Game Win Probabilities" . As in, a team in that situation (e.g 7min to go) in a game has a 75% of winning

My argument is that to have 75+ 90+ win% and lose, you clearly were beating your opponent pretty soundly before your collapse indicating your team was capable of that level of play consistently