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A couple of stats I’d be interested to know in Nick’s...not so finest hours
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:33 pm
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:33 pm
So, after the Georgia and Ole Miss games I started wondering about Nick’s performance or lack there of when down in score but kind of threw it in the back of my mind when Waddle got injured.
Stuff like say...
- What is Nick’s win/loss record when leads change 3 or more times in a game (Clemson 2015 or Auburn 2019 for example)
- Are there any stats that indicate a relative constant in the case of Alabama trading multiple leads? There are obviously general reasons like bad defense or QB play but any specifics? 2 INTs? Maybe 150 yards rushing for the opposition?
- In wins, how long does it take Nick to regain a lead on average from the first answered score (Tua’s 2nd drive in the NC for example vs. Georgia)
- What was the average TOP in games with multiple lead changes exceeding 3?
Just some ideas.
Probably hard to create a formula for other than doing it by hand but whatever. 
Stuff like say...
- What is Nick’s win/loss record when leads change 3 or more times in a game (Clemson 2015 or Auburn 2019 for example)
- Are there any stats that indicate a relative constant in the case of Alabama trading multiple leads? There are obviously general reasons like bad defense or QB play but any specifics? 2 INTs? Maybe 150 yards rushing for the opposition?
- In wins, how long does it take Nick to regain a lead on average from the first answered score (Tua’s 2nd drive in the NC for example vs. Georgia)
- What was the average TOP in games with multiple lead changes exceeding 3?
Just some ideas.
Probably hard to create a formula for other than doing it by hand but whatever. 
2
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:45 pm to FourThreeForty
Can anyone guess the one major similarity between these games:
2011 LSU
2012 Texas A&M
2013 Auburn
2014 Ole Miss
2015 CFP vs Ohio State
2015 Ole Miss
2017 CFP vs Clemson
2017 Auburn
2018 CFP vs Georgia
2018 SECCG vs Georgia
2019 LSU
ETA: Just added three more losses with the same similarity.
2011 LSU
2012 Texas A&M
2013 Auburn
2014 Ole Miss
2015 CFP vs Ohio State
2015 Ole Miss
2017 CFP vs Clemson
2017 Auburn
2018 CFP vs Georgia
2018 SECCG vs Georgia
2019 LSU
ETA: Just added three more losses with the same similarity.
This post was edited on 12/3/20 at 4:39 pm
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:49 pm to TideSaint
Too many costly mistakes.
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:53 pm to TidalSurge1
quote:
Too many costly mistakes.
One specific thing.
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:56 pm to TideSaint
Turnovers?
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:57 pm to TideSaint
Injuries
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:57 pm to TidalSurge1
Nope.
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:58 pm to CrimsonTider77
quote:
Injuries
Nope.
Posted on 12/3/20 at 3:59 pm to TideSaint
I listed 10 games, 8 of which were losses and the 2 versus Georgia we should have lost.
What is the common denominator in all 10 games?
What is the common denominator in all 10 games?
Posted on 12/3/20 at 4:06 pm to TideSaint
quote:
2011 LSU
2012 Texas A&M
2013 Auburn
2014 Ole Miss
2015 Ole Miss
2017 CFP vs Clemson
2017 Auburn
2018 CFP vs Georgia
2018 SECCG vs Georgia
2019 LSU
I can guarantee we missed a FG in all of them.
Posted on 12/3/20 at 4:27 pm to mistaken4193
Nope
Posted on 12/3/20 at 4:36 pm to 1BamaRTR
I don't feel like going back and looking at our 3 losses from 2010, but I have a feeling they all fall under the same situation as the ones I listed.
We've only suffered one loss since 2013 where specific thing I am referring to did not occur.
We've only suffered one loss since 2013 where specific thing I am referring to did not occur.
This post was edited on 12/3/20 at 4:39 pm
Posted on 12/3/20 at 4:40 pm to TideSaint
Added another loss to the list. I completely forgot about this one, yet it still applies.
Crazy.
Crazy.
Posted on 12/3/20 at 4:44 pm to TideSaint
We didn't call any timeouts?
This post was edited on 12/3/20 at 4:46 pm
Posted on 12/3/20 at 5:02 pm to TideSaint
Just out with it, dude.
Posted on 12/3/20 at 5:17 pm to TideSaint
Delete
This post was edited on 12/3/20 at 5:20 pm
Posted on 12/3/20 at 5:21 pm to RollTide1987
We scored absolutely zero points on opening drives:
quote:
2011 LSU - Missed 44 yard field goal
2012 Texas A&M - 3 and Out
2013 Auburn - Missed 44 yard field goal
2014 Ole Miss - Missed 46 yard field goal
2015 CFP vs Ohio State - 3 and Out
2015 Ole Miss - Turnover on Downs @ OM 34 yard line
2017 CFP vs Clemson - 3 and Out
2017 Auburn - Punt from their 48; Fumbled next possession
2018 CFP vs Georgia - Missed 40 yard field goal
2018 SECCG vs Georgia - Interception in the red zone
2019 CFP vs Clemson - Threw a Pick Six
2019 LSU - Fumble in the red zone
This post was edited on 12/3/20 at 6:45 pm
Posted on 12/3/20 at 5:51 pm to TideSaint
quote:
We scored absolutely zero points on opening drives:
What's our percentage of scoring on opening drives? I recall last year or year before we scored a lot on opening drives, though
Posted on 12/3/20 at 6:21 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
What's our percentage of scoring on opening drives?
No idea.
I just remembered during the LSU game last year that the last few losses we had were in games where we had a catastrophic opening possession.
In fact, I forgot one. The 2019 CFP loss to Clemson. Tua threw a Pick 6 on our opening drive.
Posted on 12/3/20 at 6:23 pm to TideSaint
Mismanagement of running game prob. cost us a five-peat.
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