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Best home field advantage last 5 years in the SEC

Posted on 5/15/24 at 3:55 pm
Posted by WildcatMike
Lexington, KY
Member since Dec 2005
41648 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 3:55 pm


Posted by NFLSU
Screwston, Texas
Member since Oct 2014
16708 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 3:59 pm to
Aggy would be 25-6 if they hadn't put Appalachian State on the schedule
Posted by Lucado
Member since Nov 2023
2891 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:04 pm to
OU and Texas haven't been in the SEC the last five seasons.
Posted by diddlydawg7
2x Best Poster Elite 8 (2x Sweet 16
Member since Oct 2017
27753 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:07 pm to
This is kinda misleading. We haven’t played a ton of teams that finished the year top 10 in that span other than Notre Dame in ‘19, Tennessee in ‘22, and Ole Miss & Mizzou in ‘23

I went pretty in depth on this in the fall LINK

Hasn’t been updated since October but here’s the data:

Since 2017

Overall
1. Alabama: 80-9 (.899)
2. Georgia: 79-10 (.888)
3. LSU: 59-25 (.702)
4. Kentucky: 52-30 (.634)
5. Texas A&M: 50-29 (.633)
6. Florida: 49-32 (.605)
7. Auburn: 47-34 (.580)
8. Miss St: 46-36 (.561)
9. Ole Miss: 43-35 (.551)
10. Mizzou: 43-36 (.544)
11. Tennessee: 42-36 (.538)
12. South Carolina: 39-40 (.493)
13. Arkansas: 29-49 (.372)
14. Vanderbilt: 23-54 (.299)

At Home
1. Georgia: 39-1 (.975)
2. Alabama: 38-2 (.950)
3. LSU: 33-7 (.825)
4. Auburn: 33-10 (.767)
5. Florida: 32-10 (.762)
6. Kentucky: 33-12 (.733)
7. Texas A&M: 32-12 (.727)
8. Mizzou: 31-15 (.674)
9. Miss St: 31-15 (.674)
10. Ole Miss: 29-15 (.659)
11. South Carolina: 27-16 (.628)
12. Tennessee: 28-17 (.622)
13. Arkansas: 21-23 (.477)
14. Vanderbilt: 16-27 (.372)

Road/Neutral
1. Alabama: 42-7 (.857)
2. Georgia: 40-9 (.816)
3. LSU: 26-18 (.591)
4. Texas A&M 18-17 (.514)
5. Kentucky: 19-18 (.513)
6. Florida: 17-22 (.436)
7. Tennessee: 14-19 (.424)
8. Miss St: 15-21 (.417)
9. Ole Miss: 14-20 (.412)
10. Auburn: 14-24 (.368)
11. Mizzou: 12-21 (.364)
12. South Carolina: 12-24 (.333)
13. Arkansas: 8-26 (.235)
14. Vanderbilt: 7-27 (.206)

Change in Win Pct
1. Auburn (+.399)
2. Florida (+.326)
3. Mizzou (+.310)
4. South Carolina (+.295)
5. Miss St (+.257)
6. Ole Miss (+.247)
7. Arkansas (+.242)
8. LSU (+.234)
9. Kentucky (+.220)
10. Texas A&M (+.213)
11. Tennessee (+.198)
12. Vanderbilt (+.166)
13. Georgia (+.159)
14. Alabama (+.093)



The above is an awful metric to evaluate this for a number of reasons. Obviously SOS is one factor. Rent-a-wins too. Also, in the case of the teams who have been elite in this span like Georgia and Alabama, the change in win pct can't be very high when the overall win pct is already .800+. We must go deeper.


At home vs Top 25
1. Georgia: 9-0 (1.000)
2. Alabama: 10-2 (.833)
3. Florida: 5-2 (.714)
4. LSU: 9-4 (.692)
5. Auburn: 7-7 (.500)
5. Texas A&m: 7-7 (.500)
7. Kentucky: 4-5 (.444)
8. Miss St: 5-9 (.357)
9. Ole Miss: 4-8 (.333)
10. Tennessee: 4-9 (.308)
11. Arkansas: 3-11 (.214)
12. Mizzou: 2-8 (.200)
13. Vandy: 2-12 (.143)
14. South Carolina: 1-11 (.083)

Road/Neutral vs Top 25
1. Alabama: 19-7 (.731)
2. Georgia: 19-9 (.679)
3. LSU: 11-10 (.524)
4. Miss St: 5-9 (.357)
5. Tennessee: 5-11 (.313)
6. Kentucky: 4-10 (.286)
7. Texas A&M: 3-9 (.250)
7. Ole Miss: 3-9 (.250)
9. Mizzou: 2-8 (.200)
10. South Carolina: 3-12 (.200)
11. Auburn: 4-17 (.190)
12. Florida: 3-14 (.176)
13. Arkansas: 2-16 (.111)
14. Vandy: 0-10 (.000)

Change in Win Pct vs Top 25
1. Florida (+.538)
2. Georgia (+.321)
3. Auburn (+.310)
4. Kentucky (+.258)
5. Texas A&M (+.250)
6. LSU (+.168)
7. Vandy (+.143)
8. Arkansas (+.103)
9. Alabama (+.102)
10. Ole Miss (+.083)
11. Mizzou (.000)
12. Miss St (.000)
13. Tennessee (-.005)
14. South Carolina (-.117)



And also Top 10:


At home vs Top 10
1. Georgia: 5-0 (1.000)
2. Florida: 3-1 (.750)
3. LSU: 6-3 (.666)
4. Alabama: 1-1 (.500)
4. Texas A&M: 4-4 (.500)
6. Auburn: 4-5 (.444)
7. Kentucky: 1-4 (.200)
8. Ole Miss: 1-5 (.167)
9. Miss St: 1-6 (.143)
10. South Carolina: 1-7 (.125)
10. Tennessee: 1-7 (.125)
12. Mizzou: 0-3 (.000)
13. Arkansas: 0-6 (.000)
14. Vandy: 0-8 (.000)

Road/Neutral vs Top 10
1. Alabama: 11-4 (.733)
2. LSU: 8-5 (.615)
3. Georgia: 11-7 (.611)
4. South Carolina: 2-5 (.286)
5. Florida: 2-8 (.200)
6. Miss St: 1-5 (.167)
7. Ole Miss: 1-5 (.167)
8. Texas A&m: 1-6 (.143)
9. Tennessee: 1-7 (.125)
10. Arkansas: 1-8 (.111)
11. Auburn: 1-13 (0.071)
12. Mizzou: 0-6 (.000)
13. Vandy: 0-7 (.000)
14. Kentucky: 0-8 (.000)

Change in Win Pct vs Top 10
1. Florida (+.550)
2. Georgia (+.389)
3. Auburn (+.373)
4. Texas A&M (+.357)
5. Kentucky (+.200)
6. LSU (+.051)
7. Miss St (+.024)
8. Mizzou (.000)
8. Ole Miss (.000)
8. Tennessee (.000)
8. Vandy (.000)
12. Arkansas (-.111)
13. South Carolina (-.161)
14. Alabama (-.233)



This is better but there are still a few problems with the metrics above. Sample size, aforementioned issues. To scoring margin we go.


Scoring Margin vs Top 25 at home
1. Georgia (+21.1)
2. Alabama (+15.4)
3. Florida (+4.1)
4. Auburn (+1.9)
5. Kentucky (+1.1)
6. LSU (-0.3)
7. Texas A&M (-0.5)
8. Miss St (-7.9)
9. Tennessee (-12.3)
10. Ole Miss (-12.4)
11. Arkansas (-14.6)
12. Mizzou (-15.1)
13. South Carolina (-17.3)
14. Vanderbilt (-26.6)

Scoring Margin vs Top 25 on road/neutral
1. Alabama (+9.8)
2. Georgia (+6.4)
3. LSU (+0.1)
4. Florida (-11.0)
5. South Carolina (-11.0)
6. Auburn (-11.1)
7. Texas A&M (-11.8)
8. Tennessee (-12.6)
9. Kentucky (-13.6)
10. Miss St (-14.2)
11. Ole Miss (-15.1)
12. Arkansas (-15.1)
13. Mizzou (-19.0)
14. Vandy (-27.8)

Change in Margin for Home/Away vs Top 25
1. Florida (+15.1)
2. Georgia (+14.7)
3. Kentucky (+14.7)
4. Auburn (+13.0)
5. Texas A&M (11.3)
6. Miss St (+6.3)
7. Alabama (+5.6)
8. Mizzou (+3.9)
9. Ole Miss (+2.7)
10. Vandy (+1.2)
11. Arkansas (+0.5)
12. Tennessee (+0.3)
13. LSU (-0.4)
14. South Carolina (-6.3)



Scoring Margin vs Top 10 at home
1. Georgia (+19.0)
2. Alabama (+6.0)
3. Florida (+5.0)
4. Texas A&M (+0.6)
5. LSU (0.0)
6. Auburn (-0.2)
7. Kentucky (-7.5)
8. Mizzou (-12.3)
9. Miss St (-17.6)
10. Arkansas (-18.2)
11. Ole Miss (-18.3)
12. South Carolina (-22.4)
13. Tennessee (-24.0)
14. Vandy (-38.1)


Scoring Margin vs Top 10 on road/neutral
1. Alabama (+7.9)
2. Georgia (+3.4)
3. LSU (+3.2)
4. South Carolina (-11.7)
5. Florida (-12.3)
6. Auburn (-15.6)
7. Texas A&M (-16.4)
8. Tennessee (-20.6)
9. Miss St (-21.3)
10. Arkansas (-23.7)
11. Ole Miss (-25.8)
12. Kentucky (-30.4)
13. Mizzou (-30.7)
14. Vandy (-30.8)

Change in Margin for Home/Away vs Top 10
1. Kentucky (+22.9)
2. Mizzou (+18.4)
3. Florida (+17.3)
4. Texas A&M (+16.9)
5. Georgia (+15.6)
6. Auburn (15.4)
7. Vandy (+7.7)
8. Ole Miss (+7.5)
9. Arkansas (+5.5)
10. Miss St (+3.7)
11. Alabama (-1.9)
12. LSU (-3.2)
13. Tennessee (-3.4)
14. South Carolina (-10.7)



In some cases the sample size is too low for vs top 10, but I think we can get a good consensus by looking at all the metrics combined.

Best Home Field Advantages since 2017
1. Florida
2. Kentucky
3. Georgia
4. Auburn
5. Texas A&M
6. LSU
7. Mizzou
8. Miss St
9. Alabama
10. Vandy
11. Ole Miss
12. Arkansas
13. Tennessee
14. South Carolina
Posted by Jebadeb
Member since Oct 2017
4821 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:16 pm to
Pretty solid for LSU considering 20-21
Posted by JetDawg
Los Angeles/USC Trojans fan/alum
Member since Oct 2020
7340 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 4:17 pm to
All I gotta say about that graph is Texas and OU are going to find out first-hand what it's like to "play on the road" week-in and week-out in this league. It will not be another day in Romper Rooom Land as they've enjoyed for their histories.
This post was edited on 5/15/24 at 4:18 pm
Posted by TouchdownTony
Central Alabama
Member since Apr 2016
9730 posts
Posted on 5/15/24 at 10:40 pm to
Frick that auburn record. That is Bama’s worst place to visit and it isn’t close.
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
14467 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 8:29 am to
A ton of the biggest games have been played on neutral sites. That quickly changes the math.
Posted by AtlantaLSUfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2009
23283 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:14 am to
Florida and Auburn are the most impressive considering total wins versus dominating at home. That’s a legit home field advantage.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
79388 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:34 am to
Aggie's homefield advantage was much higher than I expected.
:golf clap:
Posted by Insurancerebel
Madison
Member since Aug 2021
1587 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 10:43 am to
Pretty impressed with OLE MISS. 6 of the 8 losses came in 19 and 20.
Bama and MSU only home losses 21,22, and 23. LK has really turned OM around.


Posted by Auburn80
Backwater, TN
Member since Nov 2017
7610 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 4:35 pm to
Brian Harsin is the right answer. Whenever you played against him you had an advantage.
Posted by Prof
Member since Jun 2013
42695 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 7:34 pm to
If you do the last 3 instead… or even better the last 2. Instead the last 5 includes the Pruitt years.
Posted by thatthang
Member since Jan 2012
6780 posts
Posted on 5/16/24 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

Best home field advantage last 5 years in the SEC


quote:

WildcatMike


The record or winning percentage is not the same thing as “home field advantage” you hopelessly dumb frick.
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
14467 posts
Posted on 5/17/24 at 6:21 am to
Last 5 years? What a sample size of gridiron excellence.

It sounds like midgets arguing, who's the better dunker.
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
4475 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 12:43 pm to
It's probably unexpected that UGA's only home loss in the last seven seasons is to South Carolina (in overtime in 2019). That's really the only "WTF" loss on Kirby's resume after his first season.

UGA has a road loss to Auburn (2017), LSU (2018), Tennessee (2019) and Alabama (2020).

Neutral site loss to UF (2020).

They had SECCG losses to LSU and Bama (x2).

A bowl loss to Texas (2018)

and a championship game loss to Bama (2017).

But the only team to beat us at home in the last 7 seasons was a Will Muschamp led SC squad who went 4-8 that year.
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