re: 2027 Recruiting Thread (4* QB Colton Nussmeier is a Dawg!)

quote:

---

Wonder if this means anything one way or the other about whether or not Jaylen Wade will reclassify.

---

From what I understand that is definitely off the table. He is not reclassifying

quote:

---

There's not much reason for hand-wringing over recruiting. There's no satisfaction when a 5 star commits, because the odds of them signing are a coin toss, and the odds they'll ever contribute once they've signed may be less than that. The more highly rated recruits you sign, the more you'll pay big bucks and subsequently lose in the portal. Throw in the difficulty of HS evaluations and the cost/benefit ratio of HS recruiting sucks for everyone now.

---

Did I just read that the chance of a 5 star ever contributing once they've signed is less than half?

quote:

---

Did I just read that the chance of a 5 star ever contributing once they've signed is less than half?

---

I did say "may be less than that", but I should have been more precise, so I'll amend that to say contributors in line with the cost of keeping them on roster, not a minor role player. The NIL era officially started 2021 and the impact is still increasing. In the age of unlimited transfers, the odds that 5 star recruits will wait their turn and earn their keep is not very good, considering that they start getting paid large amounts immediately. The ones who earn their money for multiple seasons is even lower because of early NFL departures, but that's moving the goalpost again so let's ignore it for now.


247 composite 5 stars at UGA since 2021 who I think met that standard.


Class of 2021
Mims Yes
Vandagrif No
Sorey No
Mondon Yes

Class of 2022
M Williams - Yes
Starks Yes
MJones No
Singletary No
Everette Yes

Class of 2023
D Wilson No
R Wilson Yes
Aguero No (some may say yes, but he probably lost his job and definitely quit on his team prior to the playoffs so I say no)
Hall - not yet due to injuries, but I'm still hopeful.
AJ Harris (.9832, which is normally a 5 star) - No

Class of 2024
ERobinson - Yes
JWilliams - Yes, a close call but I'll give him the benefit of the doubt going forward.
Bolden - Yes
Ajonye - Not yet
Cole - Yes

Class of 2025
Too early to judge anyone, but no transfers yet which is very good.


That's 10/19 so far at UGA (11/19 if you include Aguero), slightly above 50%. In the 1st 3 classes, which are the ones essentially decided, half of our 5 stars transferred out, which doesn't leave a lot of room for non-transfer misses (misevaluations and injuries). That number could easily increase as portal money continues to rise and program loyalty declines. Georgia did a very good job of roster retention this offseason. If they do that going forward I may have overestimated the level of attrition due to transfers.

quote:

---

You just listed 5 different players who started at least one game for Georgia as never contributing.

You have relocated to a different planet, I swear.

---

I clarified my statement to appease you, but you ignored that part. That's okay, I'd rather not trash up the recruiting thread quibbling with a Tennessee fan who's busy bitching about Georgia's recruiting and telling everyone repeatedly how concerned you are (just like you were doing in last last year's recruiting thread when I pointed it out). After all, you're "one of the most positive [Tennessee] posters on here", at least when you're not starting threads about "THUGA" on the rant.