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re: Who still believes that LSU can sill win it all?

Posted on 6/17/13 at 2:00 pm to
Posted by ConwayGamecock
South Carolina
Member since Jan 2012
9121 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 2:00 pm to
They certainly have a window of opportunity....




Posted by NaturalBeam
Member since Sep 2007
15008 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

I went through it awhile back(using regionals and CWS for data over the last 5 years), and of the teams that come all the way back, it is statistically about twice as likely to be the team that lost their second game compared to the team that lost their first
Sure, and a lot of that would be simply due to the quality of the teams, particularly in the regionals.

A lot more 1-seeds lose their 2nd game than their 1st game, so it makes sense the results would skew in favor of teams who lose the 2nd as opposed to the 1st. Conversely, a 4-seed almost always loses their first game and rarely makes it back out, simply b/c they aren't a very good team.

I'd be interested to see if there is a difference between losing your first or second game in the CWS only and excluding regionals, since all of the teams are good and there aren't any first round David v. Goliath matchups.
This post was edited on 6/17/13 at 2:02 pm
Posted by Wild Thang
YAW YAW Fooball Nation
Member since Jun 2009
44181 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 2:05 pm to
LSU can still do it. We do have pitching. Glenn, Eades, and then back to Nola.
Posted by reggierayreb
Member since Nov 2012
19780 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 2:11 pm to
It's baseball dude... The Cardinals had a 3-1 lead over the Giants in the NLCS last year... What happened? Zito pitches a gem and Sandoval and Scutaro decided they werent going to get out the rest of the postseason.. The Giants won 7 games in a row and they were World Series Champions... That 2010 USCe team won 4 in a row to make the Championship series... This LSU team is just as good as that team on paper.
This post was edited on 6/17/13 at 2:14 pm
Posted by engie
Member since Jan 2012
8953 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

I'd be interested to see if there is a difference between losing your first or second game in the CWS only and excluding regionals, since all of the teams are good and there aren't any first round David v. Goliath matchups.


Since 1988, there have been 14 teams that lost either their first or second game advance to the championship game/series... 9 of those lost their second game. 5 lost their first.

So, even though the sample size is small -- the data still falls in line with my initial post...
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
71128 posts
Posted on 6/17/13 at 4:20 pm to
It will be tough, but if any team is built to do this, it be us
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