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Week 1 Bets

Posted on 8/28/19 at 3:13 pm
Posted by Marines4Auburn
Auburn Alum in South Florida
Member since Sep 2009
14926 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 3:13 pm
Bet 1: Is LSU going to cover (27.5) 4 TDs vs an option team? I think they can but worried about a late cover. Triple option teams suck the clock up and LSU's strength is in the secondary, is the front 7 good enough to play 4 QTRs of cutting cut blocked?

Bet 2: I love the Auburn vs Oregon under, it's at 56 which is crazy to me. I got it at 58.5 early. I personally wouldn't touch the spread. Oregon is outscored by 109 points over the past 3 years away from Autzen stadium. Oregon's WR injuries will hurt them because Auburn defensively is only exploited by good wideouts on deep routes/explosive plays.

Bet 3: Memphis can cover 5.5 vs Ole Miss at home, they are going to run the ball extremely well. Memphis OL is good and will create lanes and control the clock. Memphis knows if they don't win then they don't see a NY6 no matter what.

Bet 4. Bama -33 vs Duke, Saban is 11-22 against the spread when it is 30 or higher. Do injuries and First half suspensions even matter, I don't think they do with Juedy and Tua alone. A first time starter taking over for THE Daniel Jones is going to panic. I'm thinking I take Duke to cover and lose 45-14.

Anyone have any action they like?

Posted by Hailstate15
ForeverGator's mom's
Member since Nov 2018
21466 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 3:15 pm to
Memphis will cover and auburn oregon under 56. I wouldnt touch the LSU game (or the state one)
Posted by WithaRebelYell
Bristol TN
Member since Jan 2013
4859 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 3:18 pm to
The value getting almost 2-1 money line on ole miss. We could absolutely lose this game but we can also easily win it.
Posted by greygoose
Member since Aug 2013
11434 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 3:18 pm to
Auburn covers -3.5

The Tiger win by 10+
Posted by Bags of Milk
The Sunny Beaches of Canada
Member since Feb 2013
3322 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 3:20 pm to
LSU wont cover - they’ll cruise to a win but GS will be fine eating clock and LSU won’t want to go anything more than a vanilla playbook.

Agree on the Oregon Auburn under

Think Memphis will cover and probably win by 10+

Duke to backdoor cover in the 4th
Posted by Marines4Auburn
Auburn Alum in South Florida
Member since Sep 2009
14926 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 3:32 pm to
I'm not sure on the Duke cover, they very well could score one TD the whole game when the 2nd team def is in for Bama. Tua could score 35 in the first half and the back ups rack up a few TDs as well. I'm not going to touch it.
Posted by RebelExpress38
In your base, killin your dudes
Member since Apr 2012
13489 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 4:39 pm to
Memphis is 1-9-1 against the spread vs SEC opponents in their last 11 games FYI

The smart bet is Ole Miss +5.5, the best value is ole miss straight up.


That being said, never bet on ole miss
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 4:41 pm
Posted by CrabInMyShoeMouth
Member since Jul 2016
2486 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 5:09 pm to
Took the points with Toledo (+13.5), ULL (+22.5), and UNC (+7.5) earlier in the summer. Got a bad number on UNC, should have guessed the public would push it out early in the week. Also played UGA at -20.5 and BYU +7.

Lean AUB and Boise
Posted by Philippines4LSU
Member since May 2018
8789 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 5:27 pm to
I personally strongly doubt LSU covers. I don’t bet, but if I did still wouldn’t bet on LSU games.

That’s my opinion though.
Posted by Tigerbait8
Biloxi
Member since Aug 2012
1993 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 5:38 pm to
Houston +24.5 vs Oklahoma
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
37574 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 5:46 pm to
Bet 1: No but that doesn't mean anything, it's Week 1.

Bet 2: Over ... because it's PAC12 football.

Bet 3: Ole Miss wins outright.

Bet 4: Duke covers, barely.
quote:

Anyone have any action they like?

SC to cover against UNC.
Posted by RebelExpress38
In your base, killin your dudes
Member since Apr 2012
13489 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

UNC (+7.5) earlier in the summer.





Man, Phil Longo’s offensive scheme is trash and UNC doesn’t have a quarter the talent Ole Miss had last year. Also South Carolina beat Longo last year at ole miss so they have a good feel for him and a fresh scouting report. I would take USC.
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
12977 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 5:52 pm to
I am surprised at the point total as well.

Oregon is going to have to get explosive plays from Juwan Johnson and the Y tight ends on 50/50 balls down field.

Bo Nix is a true frosh.
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 5:53 pm
Posted by vegas-tiger
NV desert
Member since Dec 2003
2061 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 6:08 pm to
Purdue -10.5 @ UNR (nevada reno). Rondale Moore will cover that on his own.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
82952 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 6:09 pm to
Take the over 57 in our game. It's a lock.
Posted by Canyon16
Muscle Shoals
Member since Nov 2017
3685 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 6:15 pm to
Over 57 Bama/Duke
Bama gets at least 49 pts. Duke gets at least 10.
Also, Auburn's physicality will be to much for the Ducks.
Posted by CrabInMyShoeMouth
Member since Jul 2016
2486 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

Man, Phil Longo’s offensive scheme is trash and UNC doesn’t have a quarter the talent Ole Miss had last year. Also South Carolina beat Longo last year at ole miss so they have a good feel for him and a fresh scouting report. I would take USC.


I mean OM put up 44.

UNC didn't lose a game by more than 10 over their last six losses, all to bowl teams. Average loss of 6.5 over those six.

SC P5 wins were by 4, 3, 2, and 23. SC also fell on their faces in a bowl game against UVA.

Both teams have around the same amount of production coming back.

Bentley is known to throw picks.

Not the craziest play if you look past UNC's 2-10 record which Vegas knows a lot of people will not.
Posted by Jebadeb
Member since Oct 2017
4742 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 6:26 pm to
LSU probably won't cover because the offense will go conservative. The under is appealing for Auburn-Oregon. Bama covers. Memphis covers.
This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 6:27 pm
Posted by FightinTiga
Pumpkin Center
Member since Feb 2009
20745 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 6:37 pm to
I’m going to disagree and say LSU will cover
Posted by Marines4Auburn
Auburn Alum in South Florida
Member since Sep 2009
14926 posts
Posted on 8/28/19 at 7:39 pm to
Triple option teams suck the life out of opposing offenses, they cannot get in rhythm. Look at OU vs Army last year it was Kylers worst statistical performance. Or look what Navy did to teams for decades. LSU wants to get up early in the 1H and keep players healthy. If possible Ed O won’t show too much of the new passing game.
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