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WarrenNolan Predicted Final SEC Standings and RPI

Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:14 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:14 pm
SEC East
1. Georgia (40-16, 18-12)
1. Vanderbilt (39-16, 18-12)
3. Tennessee (41-15, 17-13)
4. Florida (35-21, 14-16)
5. Missouri (32-23-1, 11-18-1)
6. South Carolina (29-26, 8-22)
7. Kentucky (23-33, 7-23)

SEC West
1. Ole Miss (39-17, 20-10)
1. Mississippi St (44-11, 20-10)
3. Arkansas (39-16, 18-12)
4. Texas A&M (35-20-1, 15-14-1)
5. Auburn (33-22, 15-15)
5. LSU (32-24, 15-15)
7. Alabama (34-22, 13-17)

SEC Tournament
1/2 - Ole Miss (picked to win 2/3)
2/2 - Mississippi St
3/4/5 - Arkansas
3/4/5 - Georgia
3/4/5 - Vanderbilt
6 - Tennessee
7 - Texas A&M
8/9 - Auburn
8/9 - LSU
10 - Florida
11 - Alabama
12- Missouri *

* - waiting appeal

RPI
2. Mississippi St
3. Tennessee
6. Arkansas
7. Vanderbilt
10. Georgia
17. Texas A&M
18. Auburn
19. Florida
26. Alabama
30. LSU
43. Missouri
78. South Carolina
79. Kentucky


In this scenario I'd assume everyone makes the NCAAT other than Kentucky and USC (and Mizzou depending on appeal).
This post was edited on 4/19/19 at 5:17 pm
Posted by JamalSanders
On a boat
Member since Jul 2015
12135 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:26 pm to
Bama isn't going to go 9-6 on the back half with Vandy, LSU, and TAMU at home with Auburn and Georgia on the road.

7 wins tops, and that would be a fantastic finish.

I don't think OM wins 11 out of their next 14 either.
Posted by sand mountainDvalues
Member since Oct 2018
8718 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:27 pm to
VOLS
Posted by FiddleHead
Knoxville, TN
Member since Aug 2011
14776 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:29 pm to
As much as I’d love for Tennessee to finish like that I really don’t see that happening
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:30 pm to
quote:

Bama isn't going to go 9-6 on the back half with Vandy, LSU, and TAMU at home with Auburn and Georgia on the road.


I don't think so either - my guess is 6-9 via winning one of the home series and avoids any sweeps (though Georgia looks like a prime sweep candidate), which would put us at 10-20, 31-25 or so.
This post was edited on 4/19/19 at 5:32 pm
Posted by CNB
Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2007
95870 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:31 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/19/19 at 5:33 pm
Posted by JamalSanders
On a boat
Member since Jul 2015
12135 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

my guess is 6-9 via winning one of the home series and avoids any sweeps


That's my thought as well. Bo is getting y'all on the right track but the schedule is brutal.
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50200 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:38 pm to
So A&M is going to finish 5-9?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

That's my thought as well. Bo is getting y'all on the right track but the schedule is brutal.


Yea we play good ball but we don't have enough dudes right now. The gap when we play the best teams in the league is massive, and we don't have any big time pitchers that can cancel out some of that gap like Tennessee does.
This post was edited on 4/19/19 at 5:40 pm
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
50706 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:41 pm to
quote:

OmaVOLS
Posted by FiddleHead
Knoxville, TN
Member since Aug 2011
14776 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 5:52 pm to
You know it

Give me a regional host
This post was edited on 4/19/19 at 5:52 pm
Posted by Sancho Panza
La Habaña, Cuba
Member since Sep 2014
8161 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 6:53 pm to
***snip***

This has already changed. LSU is now the Predicted Winner of the Conference...

Does this hang on every partial score, &/or pitch?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

Does this hang on every partial score, &/or pitch?


LOL, that's something isn't it?

I can't imagine it does but maybe so. They do have win % on all the games in progress, so maybe it's baked in.
This post was edited on 4/19/19 at 6:54 pm
Posted by The_Ultimate_Warrior
Member since Mar 2019
5732 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 7:04 pm to
I dont know exactly how WN does it.

If you go to his “predict winners” page, the series scores stay pretty static.

Example: The R1 prediction has LSU beating Florida 7-6 both tonight and tomorrow. Where the ELO prediction has Florida winning tonight and tomorrow 6-5.

But if you go to LSU’s “homepage” he has LSU winning 11-4 tonight, then LSU winning 4-3 Saturday.

So I’m not sure which is pulling from where.
This post was edited on 4/19/19 at 7:05 pm
Posted by Sancho Panza
La Habaña, Cuba
Member since Sep 2014
8161 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 7:16 pm to
Now Vanderbilt was predicted conference winner...
Posted by Serraneaux
South of 30a
Member since Mar 2014
19600 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 7:39 pm to
Vols a super regional and national seed.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 7:41 pm to
Me neither - because while the total wins stay somewhat consistent it has random series wins that seem to change a lot.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
50706 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 7:47 pm to
quote:

Give me a regional host


Posted by Slackaveli
Fayetteville
Member since Jul 2017
15163 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 7:52 pm to
Hogs too low.
Posted by The_Ultimate_Warrior
Member since Mar 2019
5732 posts
Posted on 4/19/19 at 8:01 pm to
I’ve never checked the conference predictions page while games are being played. I didn’t realize how drastically it fluctuates.
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