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Posted on 9/20/17 at 11:04 pm to Gatorbait2008
quote:
Saban beats them by 30+ at their house. Then gives them high fives because they gave a hard effort and it was cute
Little Nicky couldn't give a high five with a stepladder...
Posted on 9/21/17 at 1:36 am to InThroughTheOutDore
Hmmm....actually I agree...except he wins by 30+ but instead of high fives....he does what he usually does...sulks and paces up and down the sideline because he doesn't win by 50
Posted on 9/21/17 at 5:04 am to FinebaumsHair
Let me explain, when "Vegas" puts a line out it's NOT what "they" think, it's what YOU (not really you but most of the public) think. It's ONLY perception.
One of the most knowledgeable at this is Danny Sheridan. He has been a professional oddsmaker for a very long time. He makes lines AND picks (and charges if you are lucky enough to get in which is almost impossible, like a big hedge fund on Wall St.) and ALWAYS goes with underdogs because that is always where the value will be. Some dogs he will give out on the air to win straight up and will tell you that they OUGHT to be favored but can't due to public perception. Wrong teams are favored all the time. How do you think "Vegas" has turned into a massive behemoth? ;)
I use air quotes with "Vegas" because most lines ORIGINATE offshore now in this Internet age we live in.
The only way to make a profit in this game is finding value and discrepancies in market prices (lines). That USUALLY means going against the grain / public. No different than being a successful investor in stocks, bonds or commodities.
Hope this helps...
One of the most knowledgeable at this is Danny Sheridan. He has been a professional oddsmaker for a very long time. He makes lines AND picks (and charges if you are lucky enough to get in which is almost impossible, like a big hedge fund on Wall St.) and ALWAYS goes with underdogs because that is always where the value will be. Some dogs he will give out on the air to win straight up and will tell you that they OUGHT to be favored but can't due to public perception. Wrong teams are favored all the time. How do you think "Vegas" has turned into a massive behemoth? ;)
I use air quotes with "Vegas" because most lines ORIGINATE offshore now in this Internet age we live in.
The only way to make a profit in this game is finding value and discrepancies in market prices (lines). That USUALLY means going against the grain / public. No different than being a successful investor in stocks, bonds or commodities.
Hope this helps...
This post was edited on 9/21/17 at 5:34 am
Posted on 9/21/17 at 6:49 am to Hussss
If this line jumps up to +21 or more I'm going to fire at em' with guns blazing.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 6:49 am to 3morereps
NO 
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:05 am to 3morereps
I wouldn't bet on this game either way. I could see it being a close, defensive struggle. Or, it could be the week that Bama gets their shite together and blows Vandy out.
Too many unknowns with returning players for Bama and young guys starting to click.
Too many unknowns with returning players for Bama and young guys starting to click.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:07 am to 3morereps
Will be a blowout. Bama by 30-40. Vandy doesn't have the jimmies and joes.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:18 am to 3morereps
quote:
anyone on this?
Not a fricking chance. This is a horrible spot for Vandy. Vandy isn't flying under the radar here so they will have Bama's full attention. On top of that it's a terrible fricking matchup. They'll struggle to score at all and Bama's going to methodically put up points over 60 minutes. I'm thinking bama wins by 24 or so.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:21 am to 3morereps
Bama by 24. It will be close to the spread, but I still take Bama.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:25 am to 3morereps
No, but I like the South Carolina line. I think they are going to come around and win big.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:26 am to threedog79
quote:
Bama will cover. Never bet against Bama not to cover.
Bama is 1-2 against the spread this year.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:33 am to the_watcher
I looked at this and then went back and saw the stats for the game with K State. Actually KState had more yardage than Vandy. Vandy only had 60+ yards rushing and just 205 passing.
Vandy may score first but Bama will wear them down by the third. Bama will run up and down the field by late in the third.
Vandy may score first but Bama will wear them down by the third. Bama will run up and down the field by late in the third.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:38 am to Crowknowsbest
quote:
Will be a blowout. Bama by 30-40. Vandy doesn't have the jimmies and joes.
This! Vandy will get a big dose of reality come Saturday and I believe State will as well. They got so high for the LSU game that a let down could very well fall right here in the Georgia game. Georgia is one of those teams you don't want to sleep against.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:44 am to 3morereps
3 of the 5 injured Bama linebackers have been practicing this week. If 2 or more of them play, I am expecting Bama to shut out Vandy. Then I ask myself if I believe Bama will score more than 19 against Vandy. The answer is yes. Bama will probably score around 30. Vandy has good stats but they have only played one decent team and scored two td's against them. Middle Tenn State is 1-2, Alabama a&m is 0-3 and has been blown out in every game. Vandy being undefeated is a cute story, and they have some decent athletes. They don't have enough of them to play with Bama 4 quarters.
This post was edited on 9/21/17 at 8:59 am
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:44 am to Nissanmaxima
38-13 Bama
Posted on 9/21/17 at 8:58 am to Klongdawg
Taking Vandy in this one just on melt potential alone.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 9:41 am to the_watcher
Correct. And it has got me 2 times this year. Just a vent post I suppose.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 10:21 am to 3morereps
Classic spread for squares to bet who are trying to be too smart. Vandy beats an overrated K St at home and all the sudden they're catching less than 21 to Alabama? Lol. I'm not sure how you could possibly justify betting Vandy in this spot.
Posted on 9/21/17 at 10:26 am to 3morereps
Got Bama at -18.5.
Feel like they're due for one of those 40 pt first half blowouts
Feel like they're due for one of those 40 pt first half blowouts
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