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Updated CFB National Championship Odds (Westgate Superbook)
Posted on 6/26/19 at 7:42 am
Posted on 6/26/19 at 7:42 am
247 Sports
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The ever-evolving Las Vegas odds went through another evolution this summer after the latest wave of news across college football. Most teams are at the end of their camp season with training camp about a month away.
The Westgate Las Vegas Superbook updated its projections recently for the winner of the College Football Playoff. Can Alabama rebound? Can Clemson repeat?
Will the Pac-12 and Big Ten find their ways back to the big picture?
Here is a look at the latest odds to win the National Championship as we prepare for training camp.
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50/1: Notre Dame, Washington, Texas A&M
Any part of this trio should be considered a serious threat in 2019. For Notre Dame, the Fighting Irish are just a year removed from an undefeated regular season and run to the College Football Playoff. The Clemson loss may have been lopsided, but so was every other game that featured a healthy Trevor Lawrence as the starter.
For Washington and Texas A&M, there is excitement about the quarterback position. The Huskies replace veteran Jake Browning with forner five-star recruit Jacob Eason. Some stars are gone on both sides of the ball, but Chris Petersen has a lot of talent with the chance to compete for another Pac-12 title. In College Station, Jimbo Fisher exceeded expectations in his first season. With Kellen Mond as a darkhorse Heisman candidate, the Aggies look to make noise in a loaded SEC West.
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40/1: Florida, Oregon
The Ducks have the best odds of any Pac-12 team. While the 2018 season was not as big as it could have been, there is massive momentum for Oregon heading into the season. Justin Herbert returns as one of the best quarterbacks in college football plus the Ducks just hauled in a huge recruiting class.
Florida bounced back in a big way, improving from four to 10 wins once Dan Mullen took over the program. Feleipe Franks improved significantly at quarterback, but the Gators have to get through Georgia before thinking College Football Playoff.
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30/1: Auburn, Nebraska
Auburn certainly plays a tough enough schedule, and the Tigers got pretty close the last time they played host to both Georgia and Alabama in the same season. Is Gus Malzahn taking over the offense a spark of what’s to come? Auburn has the defense, and whomever wins the starting quarterback job as the pressure on right away with the Oregon game.
Speaking of quarterbacks, Adrian Martinez was a breakout star at Nebraska as a true freshman. Even after a 4-8 season under Scott Frost, Nebraska has significant expectations to contend for a Big Ten western division and beyond. Frost turned things around fast at UCF, and Vegas sees the same thing in Lincoln.
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LSU: 20/1
Ed Orgeron got some more recruiting wins to help bolster a team that won five games against ranked opponents last season. Cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. helps soften the blow of Greedy Williams’ departure plus Grant Delpit will be a monster in the secondary. Offensively, LSU expects a bigger passing season from Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow plus five-star running back John Emery Jr. joins the fight.
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GEORGIA: 6/1
The Bulldogs are going to have to get through Alabama, most likely, to win it all. Kirby Smart has been as close as any former Nick Saban assistant but the Crimson Tide survived in both the National Championship Game and SEC Title Game. Still, Georgia has the right mix of talent and scheduling in order to make a push back to the College Football Playoffs. There are some big challenges for Georgia before a potential game against Alabama, including Notre Dame’s visit to town, a road trip to Auburn and the Florida game.
Jake Fromm has a lot of hype at quarterback, but who is he going to throw the ball to? Georgia just lost another pass catcher with the dismissal of Jeremiah Hollomon.
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ALABAMA: +225
It’s a dead tie at the top between the two teams that squared off in last season’s National Championship Game. Alabama went through a lot of changes both in personnel and coaching assistants after the loss to Clemson in last year’s matchup. But Nick Saban is still head coach, and Tua Tagovailoa is the only Heisman Trophy finalist back to college football from last season. Jerry Jeudy is also back with some Heisman hype of his own. Combine that with another No. 1 recruiting class nationally and Alabama looks as dangerous as ever.
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Non-SEC Odds:
Clemson: +225
Michigan: 12/1
Ohio State: 14/1
Oklahoma: 16/1
Texas: 25/1
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Posted on 6/26/19 at 7:43 am to TideSaint
Interesting that Bama and Clemson have the same odds despite Clemson’s Powderpuff schedule
Posted on 6/26/19 at 7:45 am to TideSaint
Clemson should be odds on favorite. Other than aTm they play no one all year. I know they lost a lot on defense and I think Bama is a better team top to bottom this year, injuries may play a huge role in how Bama fares this year. Have to keep T Lewis healthy and hope that Moses has the defense figured out better than M Wilson did.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 7:47 am to Glorious
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Interesting that Bama and Clemson have the same odds despite Clemson’s Powderpuff schedule
I hope Clemson goes into the CFP undefeated and ranked #1.
We play like shite against them in Crimson. We're much better in our Whites.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 7:53 am to TideSaint
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Oklahoma: 16/1
Bama fans would melt if OU won it all and Jalen won the heisman.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:07 am to Fear The Thumb
OU isn't winning it all. That defense is still going to be garbage and they're replacing 4/5 on that OL. Not to even mention the QB situation, which could be good but I doubt as good as they've had it the last two years.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:08 am to Fear The Thumb
You’re incorrect. Bama fans loves Jalen. The melt would be Bama didn’t win it period.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:11 am to TideSaint
Looks like Bama and Clemson -- the two teams with cupcake schedules -- will get to play house again. Color me shocked.
This post was edited on 6/26/19 at 8:12 am
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:13 am to Glorious
quote:Umm Bama plays Duke, Southern Miss, New Mexico State, whatever school WSU is out of conference and your East opponents is Tennessee and South Carolina.
Interesting that Bama and Clemson have the same odds despite Clemson’s Powderpuff schedule
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:21 am to Glorious
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Interesting that Bama and Clemson have the same odds despite Clemson’s Powderpuff schedule
these are odds of winning it, not just qualifying for the playoff. I think this basically says NC is bama v. Clemson. coin flip, both should be undefeated.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:21 am to Fear The Thumb
quote:I love Jalen and want him to show out this season, make it to NYC and OU to get to the CFP again.
Bama fans would melt if OU won it all and Jalen won the heisman.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 8:47 am to TideSaint
They're right . LSU is poised for a huge year.
Notre Dame, Washington, and Oregon have no business being that high though.
Notre Dame, Washington, and Oregon have no business being that high though.
This post was edited on 6/26/19 at 8:48 am
Posted on 6/26/19 at 12:53 pm to TideSaint
Bama will be paying with a chip on their shoulders this year. Sort of like Clemson last year. Coming back from a humbling defeat as a team with a purpose. Looks like it will be another Clemson/Bama title game.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 1:00 pm to Stingley Island
quote:Don't get shut out and lose two other games to average teams and you won't have to cry about it
Looks like Bama and Clemson -- the two teams with cupcake schedules -- will get to play house again. Color me shocked.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 1:11 pm to Solo Cam
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Umm Bama plays Duke, Southern Miss, New Mexico State, whatever school WSU is out of conference and your East opponents is Tennessee and South Carolina.
Neat. South Carolina is the 3rd hardest game on their schedule and the roughly the 6th hardest on ours
S+P is a decent analytical model. According to them Bama has 10 top 50 teams on the schedule if you include a cross division team that they might play in the conference championship. Clemson has 4 under the same criteria. The ratio is 4 to 0 when counting teams in the top 10
LINK
This post was edited on 6/26/19 at 1:36 pm
Posted on 6/26/19 at 1:23 pm to TideSaint
the number 1 seed has never, also the "home team" has never won the CFP title game.
2014 January 12, 2015 No. 4 Ohio State 42 No. 2 Oregon 20
2015 January 11, 2016 No. 2 Alabama 45 No. 1 Clemson 40
2016 January 9, 2017 No. 2 Clemson 35 No. 1 Alabama 31
2017 January 8, 2018 No. 4 Alabama 26 No. 3 Georgia 23
2018 January 7, 2019 No. 2 Clemson 44 No. 1 Alabama 16
2014 January 12, 2015 No. 4 Ohio State 42 No. 2 Oregon 20
2015 January 11, 2016 No. 2 Alabama 45 No. 1 Clemson 40
2016 January 9, 2017 No. 2 Clemson 35 No. 1 Alabama 31
2017 January 8, 2018 No. 4 Alabama 26 No. 3 Georgia 23
2018 January 7, 2019 No. 2 Clemson 44 No. 1 Alabama 16
Posted on 6/26/19 at 1:25 pm to TideSaint
Does it bother anyone else that they used fractional odds for everyone except for Alabama and Clemson where they used a money line?
If you are going to use fractional odds throughout just state that Alabama and Clemson have 9/4 odds, not a +225 money line.
If you are going to use fractional odds throughout just state that Alabama and Clemson have 9/4 odds, not a +225 money line.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 1:36 pm to Stingley Island
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Looks like Bama and Clemson -- the two teams with cupcake schedules -- will get to play house again. Color me shocked.
ITT corndogs call their own team a cupcake.
Posted on 6/26/19 at 2:05 pm to Stingley Island
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Looks like Bama and Clemson -- the two teams with cupcake schedules -- will get to play house again. Color me shocked.
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Stingley Island
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LSU Fan
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Bama schedule
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LSU
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cupcake
Posted on 6/26/19 at 2:19 pm to TideSaint
May as well put 50 on Texas and Florida. Both have outside shots and the payoff is good enough to take the small risk. Not saying either win it, but 40 and 25 odds are nice for teams that could.
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