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Updated Bill Connelly (SP+) 2021 CFB Returning Production

Posted on 4/28/21 at 10:50 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 10:50 am
As of April 28




SEC
42. Ole Miss (82%)
47. LSU (80%)
59. Mississippi St (78%)
73. Auburn (74%)
74. Missouri (74%)
79. Arkansas (74%)
105. Vanderbilt (66%)
109. Kentucky (63%)
111. Georgia (63%)
116. Texas A&M (61%)
118. Florida (56%)
120. Alabama (55%)
122. Tennessee (54%)
125. South Carolina (47%)


SEC OOC Opponents (P5) in the Top 50
8. UCLA (92%) (LSU)
14. Miami (91%) (Alabama)
32. Colorado (83%) (Texas A&M)


Prior Year Final AP Top 10 Ranked by Returning Production
1. Iowa State (88%) (9)
2. Oklahoma (74%) (6)
3. Cincinnati (74%) (8)
4. Clemson (69%) (3)
5. Georgia (63%) (7)
6. Texas A&M (61%) (4)
7. Alabama (55%) (1)
8. Notre Dame (53%) (5)
9. Ohio State (50%) (2)
10. Northwestern (38%) (10)
This post was edited on 4/28/21 at 10:51 am
Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
39966 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 10:55 am to
Is this offensive, defensive, or total?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 10:56 am to
quote:

Is this offensive, defensive, or total?



My assumption is total, but I just posted what he posted. He has defined his metrics for returning production quite frequently, so I'm guessing the "total".
Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9056 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 11:00 am to
This season is going to be a nightmare

I saw someone on Reddit say non-sarcastically that they could see us at 7-8 wins. Delusional.


On the other hand, maybe losing all those scrubs is a good thing
This post was edited on 4/28/21 at 11:00 am
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50165 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 11:17 am to
Thanks for posting, but I've been told repeatedly that this is a meaningless stat.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73404 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Thanks for posting, but I've been told repeatedly that this is a meaningless stat.


So, do you or don't you think it is significant?
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50165 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 12:43 pm to
It is clearly very meaningful.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73404 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

It is clearly very meaningful.



I don't think it is as a stand alone statistic, especially not in a power conference.
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
93639 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Returning Production

Posted by RebelTheBear
Saban's spare bedroom
Member since Aug 2016
5528 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:13 pm to
Stop it OP, don’t give me hope.
Posted by RT58
Alabama
Member since Oct 2007
3673 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:20 pm to
Does this mean Ole Miss will win the
West & SECCG?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:22 pm to
Yes
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
93639 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:28 pm to
If Freshwater was to win the West this year, they may have to call in the National Guard to get a hold of Oxford.
Posted by JoseyWalesTheOutlaw
In The Ham
Member since Nov 2017
11655 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:29 pm to
Lane and Ole Miss could very well F up a lot of Saturday's for the competition this season.
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
52270 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Thanks for posting, but I've been told repeatedly that this is a meaningless stat.


I think the statistic matters but not to the extent where the teams with the most returning production will all be good and the ones without won't be.

I think it was more important than normal in 2020 since there was basically no offseason.

The only team that seems unaffected by it is Bama
Posted by TideWarrior
Asheville/Chapel Hill NC
Member since Sep 2009
11827 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

especially not in a power conference.


Meaning the depth that the teams at the top return. The stat may have value when looking at teams that have to rebuild but teams just reloading, even with players that have very little game experience I agree alone the stat does not add much except for conversation.
Posted by Razorback Reverend
Member since Dec 2013
22710 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:35 pm to
well, if your top returning production is a steaming pile of dog poo...

Yeah, it don't matter much. Chad Morris left us with mostly that..
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
93639 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

alone the stat does not add much except for conversation

It's really just the jumping off point for the conversation about the upcoming season. It's so funny though to see people get so bent out of shape at these returning production threads.
Posted by SmokeTide
Gulf Coast Alabama
Member since Nov 2015
5287 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

don't think it is as a stand alone statistic, especially not in a power conference.


Even within power 5s you could break it down into tiers. Places like LSU and Alabama you can reload with high-end players.

I mean no disrespect and using this as an example, but places Kentucky or Arkansas bringing back alot of production is a big deal.

Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
52270 posts
Posted on 4/28/21 at 1:56 pm to
I think you also have to look at position groups.

Experience at quarterback is undeniably important.

You want an offensive line that has played with each other as much as possible and can behave as a unit instead of a group of individual players.

Same in the secondary IMO but not quite as important as the other two.
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