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This is an advanced stat comparison of every MNC winner from 2007-2021
Posted on 8/1/22 at 8:07 pm
Posted on 8/1/22 at 8:07 pm
Fremeau Efficiency Index ratings (FEI) are opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. Offense ratings (OFEI) and defense ratings (DFEI) are opponent-adjusted drive efficiency data representing the per-drive scoring advantage a team unit would be expected to have against an average opponent unit.
Unless otherwise noted, all ratings and supporting data are calculated only after first filtering out garbage possessions, defined as of February 2021, as follows:
- An offensive possession of two plays or fewer that runs out the clock to conclude the first half, or that runs out the clock to conclude the second half with the score tied, and does not result in a turnover, score, or field goal attempt.
- A possession in the second half of a game in which eight times the number of the losing team's remaining possessions plus one is less than the losing team's scoring deficit at the start of the possession.
- An offensive possession of two plays or fewer by the losing team with a score deficit greater than eight points that runs out the clock to conclude the game.
- An offensive possession or non-offensive scoring possession by the winning team leading by eight points or fewer at the start of the possession that runs out the clock to conclude the game.
MNC FEI comparison:
21 UGA: 1.65
18 Clemson: 1.65
08 Florida: 1.61
13 FSU: 1.55
12 Bama: 1.52
19 LSU: 1.50
20 Bama: 1.43
09 Bama: 1.38
11 Bama: 1.38
17 Bama: 1.29
14 Ohio St: 1.14
15 Bama: 1.10
10 Auburn: 1.09
16 Clemson: 1.09
07 LSU: 0.93
Per the statistician who runs these numbers.........
"As a general rule of thumb based on recent seasons, you’d better create a net YPP of 2+ if you want a realistic shot at the CFP. And if you want to win, you’d better wind up north of 2.5. This is why I like net YPP when it comes to advanced stats. It may not be perfect, but it’s relatively easy to understand and it’s a good judge of a team’s overall quality."
MNC Yards Per Play NET comparison:
11 Bama: 3.52
13 FSU: 3.45
21 UGA: 3.33
18 Clemson: 3.21
19 LSU: 3.16
20 Bama: 2.96
08 Florida: 2.61
09 Bama: 2.45
17 Bama: 2.17
14 Ohio St: 2.10
16 Clemson: 1.61
12 Bama: 1.52
15 Bama: 1.49
10 Auburn: 1.42
07 LSU: 0.99
MNC Points Per Drive NET comparison:
13 FSU: 3.04
21 UGA: 2.70
20 Bama: 2.59
08 Florida: 2.59
12 Bama: 2.49
19 LSU: 2.43
18 Clemson: 2.26
11 Bama: 2.25
17 Bama: 1.88
14 Ohio St: 1.85
09 Bama: 1.57
15 Bama: 1.40
16 Clemson: 1.37
07 LSU: 1.37
10 Auburn: 1.14
Unless otherwise noted, all ratings and supporting data are calculated only after first filtering out garbage possessions, defined as of February 2021, as follows:
- An offensive possession of two plays or fewer that runs out the clock to conclude the first half, or that runs out the clock to conclude the second half with the score tied, and does not result in a turnover, score, or field goal attempt.
- A possession in the second half of a game in which eight times the number of the losing team's remaining possessions plus one is less than the losing team's scoring deficit at the start of the possession.
- An offensive possession of two plays or fewer by the losing team with a score deficit greater than eight points that runs out the clock to conclude the game.
- An offensive possession or non-offensive scoring possession by the winning team leading by eight points or fewer at the start of the possession that runs out the clock to conclude the game.
MNC FEI comparison:
21 UGA: 1.65
18 Clemson: 1.65
08 Florida: 1.61
13 FSU: 1.55
12 Bama: 1.52
19 LSU: 1.50
20 Bama: 1.43
09 Bama: 1.38
11 Bama: 1.38
17 Bama: 1.29
14 Ohio St: 1.14
15 Bama: 1.10
10 Auburn: 1.09
16 Clemson: 1.09
07 LSU: 0.93
Per the statistician who runs these numbers.........
"As a general rule of thumb based on recent seasons, you’d better create a net YPP of 2+ if you want a realistic shot at the CFP. And if you want to win, you’d better wind up north of 2.5. This is why I like net YPP when it comes to advanced stats. It may not be perfect, but it’s relatively easy to understand and it’s a good judge of a team’s overall quality."
MNC Yards Per Play NET comparison:
11 Bama: 3.52
13 FSU: 3.45
21 UGA: 3.33
18 Clemson: 3.21
19 LSU: 3.16
20 Bama: 2.96
08 Florida: 2.61
09 Bama: 2.45
17 Bama: 2.17
14 Ohio St: 2.10
16 Clemson: 1.61
12 Bama: 1.52
15 Bama: 1.49
10 Auburn: 1.42
07 LSU: 0.99
MNC Points Per Drive NET comparison:
13 FSU: 3.04
21 UGA: 2.70
20 Bama: 2.59
08 Florida: 2.59
12 Bama: 2.49
19 LSU: 2.43
18 Clemson: 2.26
11 Bama: 2.25
17 Bama: 1.88
14 Ohio St: 1.85
09 Bama: 1.57
15 Bama: 1.40
16 Clemson: 1.37
07 LSU: 1.37
10 Auburn: 1.14
Posted on 8/1/22 at 8:17 pm to djsdawg
The cbi8 index has ‘19 LSU #1 and everyone else tied for a distant second.
Posted on 8/1/22 at 8:32 pm to MrMojoRisin
Dont slander Obi Wan with a fake comment.
Posted on 8/1/22 at 9:29 pm to Alyosha
quote:
Yeah we know
That 2007 LSU team was easily the worst of the bunch, or was it 2010 AU?
Posted on 8/1/22 at 10:35 pm to djsdawg
SP+ and FEI are great metrics. I still feel they fail to capture the non-linearity of college football
Beating the shite out of mediocre teams (looking at you, 2013 FSU) does not mean your game plan/talent/scheme scales appropriately to the big boys
Beating the shite out of mediocre teams (looking at you, 2013 FSU) does not mean your game plan/talent/scheme scales appropriately to the big boys
Posted on 8/1/22 at 10:54 pm to DallasTiger45
quote:
SP+ and FEI are great metrics. I still feel they fail to capture the non-linearity of college football
Certainly not a perfect measure. Nothing is.
Posted on 8/1/22 at 11:02 pm to djsdawg
Maybe if 2019 LSU had lost the SEC championship like 2021 UGA they would have been the GOAT, huh?
This post was edited on 8/1/22 at 11:02 pm
Posted on 8/1/22 at 11:11 pm to djsdawg
quote:
That 2007 LSU team was easily the worst of the bunch,
Someone is still Salty UGA didn’t back their way into the game in a year where everyone had at least 2 losses.
Posted on 8/1/22 at 11:15 pm to djsdawg
SoG will change a coefficient or two in the formula and make some UAT team #1 in all metrics.
Which is bullshite because we all know AMERICA'S TEAM tUTEP is the greatest ever
Which is bullshite because we all know AMERICA'S TEAM tUTEP is the greatest ever
Posted on 8/1/22 at 11:17 pm to memphisplaya
quote:Nah playa...
Someone is still Salty UGA didn’t back their way into the game in a year where everyone had at least 2 losses.
Posted on 8/1/22 at 11:36 pm to Murph4HOF
What is better than one title?
Yeah, dawg. He is salty
Yeah, dawg. He is salty
Posted on 8/2/22 at 12:20 am to djsdawg
Now look at the quality of opponents
Posted on 8/2/22 at 12:44 am to Tigerlaff
quote:
Maybe if 2019 LSU had lost the SEC championship like 2021 UGA they would have been the GOAT, huh?
Seems like you have a bone to pick with the stats.
Posted on 8/2/22 at 12:46 am to memphisplaya
quote:
Someone is still Salty UGA didn’t back their way into the game in a year where everyone had at least 2 losses.
Looking at the stats, UGA 2007 was overrated.
Posted on 8/2/22 at 12:46 am to bengalmd
quote:
Now look at the quality of opponents
The stats appear to be accounting for such things.
Posted on 8/2/22 at 1:10 am to memphisplaya
Most recent title is best title.
Posted on 8/2/22 at 7:01 am to Murph4HOF
quote:
Most recent title is best title.
This is true.
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