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SummerOfGeorge Super Computer College Football MEGA Preseason Rankings have been released
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:14 pm
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:14 pm
Come ye come all for the 2022 edition of the manalytics for the college football season
Congratulations to GEORGIA on repeating as college football national champions. The Dynasty has started in Clarke County!
Congratulations to GEORGIA on repeating as college football national champions. The Dynasty has started in Clarke County!
This post was edited on 8/16/22 at 3:47 pm
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:16 pm to SummerOfGeorge
LSU ranked below Texas Tech.
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:16 pm to SummerOfGeorge
I take it these are power rankings?
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:17 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Michigan, Utah, and ND are all going to be soft AF.
Any chance of a 3rd SEC team in the playoff?
Any chance of a 3rd SEC team in the playoff?
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:17 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Congratulations to GEORGIA on repeating as college football national champions
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:17 pm to 3down10
quote:
I take it these are power rankings?
Top Secret Formula of prior year SP+, returning production, weighted average recruiting the last 5 years
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:18 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Come ye come all
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:20 pm to SidewalkTiger
quote:
Oh no, we suck again
The Super Computer has an admitted blind spot to new coaches in Year 1, especially those taking over after disastrous seasons.
It cannot predict the unpredictable!
This post was edited on 8/16/22 at 3:22 pm
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:21 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Prepare for the LSU downvotes. This place is going to be a ghost town midway through the season, maybe sooner.
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:22 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Ohio State Defense: #9
Im kinda worried that Jim Knowles will be a home run hire for them
This post was edited on 8/16/22 at 3:23 pm
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:27 pm to Glorious
quote:
Im kinda worried that Jim Knowles will be a home run hire for them
And he's got JTT and Jack Sawyer up front to use along with some other guys. If they are just pretty good on defense they are terrifying.
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:27 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Top Secret Formula of prior year SP+, returning production, weighted average recruiting the last 5 years
Yeah, that's a power rating.
If you have access to the schedules, you can easily turn it into a season rankings. For the team "score" you just take whatever power score you have, and when a team beats that team, they get that power score. And then you set a max, and when a team losses to that team, they get negative points from the max minus the team loss.
So say your max rating was 100 and the best team was 99 on it. If they played a team that has a power rating of say 30, and won. The 30 rating team would receive -1 points for the game, and the winning team would get +30 points. If they lost, the 99 rating team gets a -70, and the 30 rating team gets a +99.
In this way you automatically have SoS built in, you just rank them by points. In the early season I used game predictions to decide the winners, but you can easily do a simple "who's power score is better" to determine the winner. Give those games half the points.
Non FBS teams are 0 power by default. Beating them gives you 0 points, losing to them is -100. Properly treated IMO.
Then go over the list from the bottom up, and if a team below beat the team(in their last game played) above it, swap their places. So for example, if Alabama had come out with more points than Georgia last year(unlikely), Georgia would still be above Alabama due to the NC game.
I'd love to see you do it.
This post was edited on 8/16/22 at 3:29 pm
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:29 pm to 3down10
quote:
Yeah, that's a power rating.
If you have access to the schedules, you can easily turn it into a season rankings. For the team "score" you just take whatever power score you have, and when a team beats that team, they get that power score. And then you set a max, and when a team losses to that team, they get negative points from the max minus the team loss.
So say your max rating was 100 and the best team was 99 on it. If they played a team that has a power rating of say 30, and won. The 30 rating team would receive -1 points for the game, and the winning team would get +30 points. If they lost, the 99 rating team gets a -70, and the 30 rating team gets a +99.
In this way you automatically have SoS built in, you just rank them by points. In the early season I used game predictions to decide the winners, but you can easily do a simple "who's power score is better" to determine the winner. Give those games half the points.
Then go over the list from the bottom up, and if a team below beat the team(in their last game played) above it, swap their places. So for example, if Alabama had come out with more points than Georgia last year(unlikely), Georgia would still be above Alabama due to the NC game.
I'd love to see you do it.
Yea, that'd be fun. Probably not gonna have time for it though.
I like your proposed setup though. Really good. Sounds a lot like how ELO works.
This post was edited on 8/16/22 at 3:30 pm
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:29 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Congratulations to GEORGIA on repeating as college football national champions.
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:30 pm to Texaggie96
Sandwiched between Toledo & UAB, that's fricked up George.
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:30 pm to TexasForever
quote:
Sandwiched between Toledo & UAB, that's fricked up George.
The Super Computer can be a real sumbitch my friend
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:36 pm to SummerOfGeorge
complete moron that is all. There is no way A@M sniffs top 5 … And Even worse is you got 9 sec teams out of 20 one which is Mississippi state inside top 12 ?….
I see why so many people think your about the dumbest guy that roots for Bama
I see why so many people think your about the dumbest guy that roots for Bama
This post was edited on 8/16/22 at 3:41 pm
Posted on 8/16/22 at 3:36 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Yea, that'd be fun. Probably not gonna have time for it though.
I like your proposed setup though. Really good. Sounds a lot like how ELO works.
I used it for my rankings when I did them. I wish someone would do it using the SP+. I did power rankings similar to SP+, and then the above for the season rankings. SP+ is able to take garbage stats and such out, and I never was, so I think it's better and thus better results also.
But yeah, if you don't have a way to automate it, it would be way too much work.
I guess I'll just keep crossing my fingers someone does it one day.
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