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SportSource Analytics: Simulating the SEC football games for Week 1

Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:25 pm
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22982 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:25 pm
quote:

SportSource Analytics
[Official analytics platform of the CFB Playoff]
@SportSourceA

Simulating this weekend's seven SEC Football games. Results in the thread below.

NOTE: Format is pretty simple. We are simulating 10 games and posting the results. We are also posting a box score of the game most similar to the average score of the 10 simulated games (link above).


#Florida vs. #OleMiss
Florida wins 8 out of 10. Average score 40-24.
Final: 51-35

#Kentucky vs. #Auburn
Auburn wins 7 out of 10. Average score 23-14. Low scoring battle.
Final: 29-13

#MississippiState vs. #LSU
#GoTigers win 8 out of 10. Lots of throwing by MSU. Average score 36-16.
Final: 34-44 incorrect pick

#Georgia vs. #Arkansas
#Bulldogs win 10 out of 10 games. Average score 38-6.
Final: 37-10

#Alabama vs. #Mizzou
#Bama takes 9 out of 10. Average score 39-18.
Final: 38-19

#TexasAM vs. #Vanderbilt
#Aggies win 10 out of 10. Average score 33-5. Not a single close game.
Final: 17-12

#Tennessee vs. #SouthCarolina
#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.
Final: 31-27

This post was edited on 9/27/20 at 9:44 am
Posted by GeauxTigerNation
Member since 1988
Member since Nov 2013
13429 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

Bama takes 9 out of 10. Average score 39-18


Everything is pretty normal except this. How did this happen?
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37295 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

#Bulldogs win 10 out of 10 games.


So you’re saying there’s a chance...for me to say
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22982 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

How did this happen?

Interesting that half of their simulations had Mizzou scoring 20+ points and keeping it relatively close.

This post was edited on 9/25/20 at 2:39 pm
Posted by GeauxTigerNation
Member since 1988
Member since Nov 2013
13429 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:30 pm to
Mizzou fans would burn this board down if they not only won but won like that.

Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35928 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:30 pm to
Oo0oOf!

#36-29
Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
15959 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

Everything is pretty normal except this. How did this happen?


This is how


Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30851 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:33 pm to
Looking at those scores, it almost gives the impression that Alabama's virtual team was getting bored playing Mizzou so much.
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22982 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

Oo0oOf!

#36-29




Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
32624 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Bulldogs win 10 out of 10 games
Clearly these cocksuckers don’t realize that tFlagship’s mast is up and about to sell on Kirbys arse
Posted by Gamecock Steve
Member since Mar 2019
552 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.

yikes
Posted by GameCocky88
Mount Pleasant, SC
Member since Dec 2015
4837 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

quote:
#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.
yikes




Kinda hard to simulate an offense where only 1 skill position has actually played for Carolina
Posted by BVD
Go vols screw y'alls
Member since Oct 2017
746 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.


You goddamned right we winning
Posted by Hback
Member since Aug 2017
9169 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Bama takes 9 out of 10. Everything is pretty normal except this. How did this happen?


Our FG kicker was in mid-season form.
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
79974 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Average score 33-5. Not a single close game.


That doesn't cover the spread.
Posted by TRUERockyTop
Appalachia
Member since Sep 2011
15808 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

Tennessee vs. #SouthCarolina
#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.




V, B
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:09 pm to
36-29 seems about right. Late Bama score to make it seem closer than it actually was
Posted by Gamecock Steve
Member since Mar 2019
552 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:26 pm to
Tennessee can't lose!
Posted by lewis and herschel
Member since Nov 2009
11363 posts
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:45 pm to
I would say USC/TN is more 50/50...
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22982 posts
Posted on 9/27/20 at 9:50 am to
Updated with actual scores.

Missing only MSU/LSU, the system went 6-1 SU.

Aside from A&M, I think the predicted scores were quite good for Week 1, with ALA/MIZ being almost exact.
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