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SportSource Analytics: FBS teams scoring first and keeping opponents scoreless in 1Q

Posted on 8/20/20 at 9:49 am
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22887 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 9:49 am
quote:

SportSource Analytics
@SportSourceA

Over the last five years, these are the only FBS #CFB teams to have scored first in 70%+ of their games:

1 @AlabamaFTBL #RollTide
2 @NDFootball #NotreDame
3 @SouthernMissFB #SouthernMiss
4 @GeorgiaFootball #UGA

9:18 AM · Aug 20, 2020

SportSource Analytics
@SportSourceA

The five FBS #CFB teams that have kept opponents off the scoreboard in the 1st quarter 50%+ of games over the last five years:

1 @ClemsonFB - 54%
2 @GeorgiaFootball - 54%
3 @AlabamaFTBL - 53%
4 @LSUfootball - 51%
5 @BadgerFootball - 50%

9:27 AM · Aug 20, 2020

With the proliferation of high-powered offenses, to me it's especially impressive that the SEC has three of the top five defensive performances during that span.

Assuming most of these were conference games, it also seems to indicate that there is a significant disparity (a top and bottom tier) between SEC teams and their ability to score quickly.

In other words, first quarter defense seems to correlate directly with overall success during the past few years.
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155232 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 9:51 am to
Posted by geauxnavybeatbama
Member since Jul 2013
25134 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 10:00 am to
Georgia has had a tough time scoring last in the past few years
Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
39955 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 10:07 am to
NM
This post was edited on 8/20/20 at 10:10 am
Posted by MNW
Starkville, MS
Member since Mar 2015
1830 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 10:10 am to
quote:

first quarter defense seems to correlate directly with overall success during the past few years.


Or maybe the best 1Q defenses are just the best defenses
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22887 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 10:30 am to
quote:

Or maybe the best 1Q defenses are just the best defenses

That's probably true.

Also may have something to do with overcoming an opponent's game plan and lack of coaching adjustment throughout the game.

As an example, which will probably get shite all over, Alabama allowed 33-points to LSU in the first half, but none in the third quarter after halftime adjustments (and a 15-point positive swing in the second half overall).

Obviously a lot of factors went into it by that point in the game, but it's clear that even a disastrous first quarter or half can be adjusted for.

If you're a team (or staff) that can't make those adjustments, it's a hard hole to climb out of.
Posted by 167back
Dos Gris
Member since Jun 2012
4694 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 10:34 am to
Then the LSU offensive coaches made adjustments to bama's and couldn't be stopped in the fourth quarter. LSU wins game.
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22887 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Then the LSU offensive coaches made adjustments to bama's and couldn't be stopped in the fourth quarter. LSU wins game.

Right, I'm not saying LSU couldn't adjust just as well to do what they needed to do, but comparatively that's a difficult task for other, lesser teams/staffs.
Posted by austiger
Austin
Member since Apr 2012
741 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 11:23 am to
stopped in that opening drive by an uncharacteristic turnover from burrow... they were marching down the field to make it 40-13
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
22887 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 11:37 am to
quote:

stopped in that opening drive by an uncharacteristic turnover from burrow

Yeah, Tua did the same thing on the first drive of the game.
Posted by austiger
Austin
Member since Apr 2012
741 posts
Posted on 8/20/20 at 8:06 pm to
you had two fluke touchdowns on stingley and a punt return where mcmath should've wrapped up. net net you're lucky that's a 5 point game and not a 3 or 4 TD game
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