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SOG Magic Predictor : TAMU vs Arky, Bama vs State, AU vs LSU, UK vs UGA

Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:56 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 6:56 pm
#8 Texas A&M (3-1) (-11.0) vs Arkansas (2-2) (O/U 57.5)

Vegas Expectation: Texas A&M 34-23

TEXAS A&M - 25
ARKANSAS - 19


TEXAS A&M OFFENSE
- 410 yards on 72 plays (5.51 YPP)
- 188 pass yards on 38 passes (4.98 YPA)
- 222 rush yards on 37 rushes (6.05 YPA)

ARKANSAS OFFENSE
- 301 yards on 75 plays (4.78 YPP)
- 241 pass yards on 30 passes (8.02 YPA)
- 60 rush yards on 35 rushes (1.70 YPA)




#1 Alabama (5-0) (-32.5) vs Mississippi State (1-3) (O/U 62.5)

Vegas Expectation: Alabama 47-15

ALABAMA - 41
MISS ST - 9


ALABAMA OFFENSE
- 486 yards on 72 plays (6.75 YPP)
- 362 pass yards on 33 passes (10.84 YPA)
- 124 rush yards on 39 rushes (3.22 YPA)

MISS ST OFFENSE
- 302 yards on 75 plays (4.03 YPP)
- 269 pass yards on 56 passes (4.78 YPA)
- 33 rush yards on 19 rushes (1.77 YPA)





Auburn (3-2) (-1.0) vs LSU (2-2) (O/U 62)

Vegas Expectation: Auburn 31-30

LSU - 34
AUBURN - 29


LSU OFFENSE
- 484 yards on 73 plays (6.63 YPP)
- 349 pass yards on 38 passes (9.18 YPA)
- 135 rush yards on 35 rushes (3.87 YPA)

AUBURN OFFENSE
- 476 yards on 75 plays (7.21 YPP)
- 282 pass yards on 33 passes (8.54 YPA)
- 194 rush yards on 33 rushes (5.89 YPA)





Kentucky (2-3) vs #5 Georgia (3-1) (-13) (O/U 41.5)

Vegas Expectation: Georgia 27-14

GEORGIA - 27
KENTUCKY - 13


GEORGIA OFFENSE
- 346 yards on 75 plays (4.61 YPP)
- 209 pass yards on 35 passes (5.96 YPA)
- 137 rush yards on 40 rushes (3.43 YPA)

KENTUCKY OFFENSE
- 204 yards on 64 plays (3.22 YPP)
- 102 pass yards on 22 passes (4.59 YPA)
- 102 rush yards on 41 rushes (2.48 YPA)
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 8:00 pm
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
79879 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:00 pm to
Based upon your picks for A&M/Mississippi State last time I'm curious to see what it spits out for Arkansas/A&M.
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35928 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

AUBURN OFFENSE
- 476 yards
And in the 2nd half?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

And in the 2nd half?




Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62697 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:02 pm to
The SOG predictor needs to have an algorithm for the '"quick look" from the replay booth 'factor.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:02 pm to
quote:

Based upon your picks for A&M/Mississippi State last time I'm curious to see what it spits out for Arkansas/A&M.



I actually was able to completely disregard the State/LSU game at this point because we finally have enough additional info on State at this point and the LSU game is such a clear outlier. Like I think I posted them, if you took out the LSU game from State the score flipped by like 3 TDs. It was just an absolutely wild outlier.

Working on UGA/UK now then Arky/Aggie.
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 7:04 pm
Posted by biclops
Member since Oct 2011
6149 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:03 pm to
quote:

WilliamTaylor21


I gotta say, you're back on form lately. welcome back!
Posted by CNB
Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2007
95852 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:05 pm to
Beating a cock whips anyone back to shape
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:08 pm to
I know I can trust you to answer honestly. How accurate has this been this year?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:11 pm to
quote:

I know I can trust you to answer honestly. How accurate has this been this year?



Last weekend was really the first weekend you could do much with it (you have to have at least 3-4 weeks of stats) and I only did Alabama/Tennessee.

It spit out

Alabama - 48 (48)
Tennessee - 25 (17)

Alabama
547 yards (8.82) (587, 7.70)
414 pass yards (14.4) (11.60)
133 rush yards (4.0) (4.30)

Tennessee
385 yards (5.32) (302, 4.80)
257 pass yards (6.87) (6.50)
129 rush yards (3.66) (3.70)


It's not something I'd go around betting with but it generally gives a decent idea of how the game is gonna shape up.
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 7:13 pm
Posted by TiderNAL
Member since Nov 2010
7187 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:19 pm to
quote:

quote:
AUBURN OFFENSE
- 476 yards
And in the 2nd half?


We need more of this side of Willy T
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:24 pm to
it was pretty damn close
Posted by TideSaint
Hill Country
Member since Sep 2008
75823 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:24 pm to
quote:

I gotta say, you're back on form lately. welcome back!


Subtle William is the best William.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:25 pm to
quote:

it was pretty damn close



When it's hitting most of the lines within 2-3 pts of the O/U and the line I know it's in pretty good shape. It's gotten to that point this week.
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:27 pm to
I think you have a winner there.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:45 pm to
Aggie/Arky added
Posted by dhuck20
SCLSU Fan
Member since Oct 2012
20282 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:52 pm to
I don’t see how Kentucky scores more than they did against Mizzou (10) unless they get some picks. I like UGA to cover.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

I don’t see how Kentucky scores more than they did against Mizzou (10) unless they get some picks. I like UGA to cover.





Agreed - they'll struggle to score more in double digits unless they score on defense or set up a score with defense/special teams (like they did against Tennessee and Mississippi State).

Their defense will give Georgia some problems, though, I think.
This post was edited on 10/25/20 at 7:55 pm
Posted by ATLtiger12
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2013
675 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

AUBURN OFFENSE
- 476 yards on 75 plays (4.78 YPP)


How does this math?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

How does this math?



It's fuzzy math, duh

LOL updated - I didn't change the State YPP
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