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SEC Team Rankings by Yard Per Play vs Opponent Averages

Posted on 10/30/24 at 12:41 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103250 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 12:41 pm
How did you perform (Yard Per Play, Yard Per Pass, Yard Per Rush) compared to what your opponent averages allowing (and visa versa for defense) against all their other Power 4 opponents.

Gives a little more in depth look at the overall numbers we look at a lot with context of how that compares to your opponents to date. Only uses stats from Power 4 vs Power 4 games.

Offense - Overall, Rush, Pass








Offense - Hardest to Easiest Opposing Defenses Faced





Defense - Overall, Pass, Rush








Defense- Hardest to Easiest Opposing Offenses Faced





Net YPPa





Net Strength of Schedule

This post was edited on 10/30/24 at 12:49 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103250 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 12:59 pm to
TL DR Oklahoma got boned Texas got stoned
Posted by PuertoRicanBlaze
Drowning in LSU tears
Member since Apr 2024
3168 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 1:00 pm to
OU got boned in the way Aggie likes to get boned.

Crazy.
Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
41312 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 1:04 pm to
Great stuff. It looks like Texas' YPP differential hit a snag the last two weeks. They were up around 3 I believe
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
12797 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 1:12 pm to

I think it's a good to compare on a game by game basis as some really good games.. or some really bad games.. can skew the numbers..

Alabama clearly has a good offense..
Tennessee clearly has a better defense..
Georgia's defense shite the bed against Alabama..
Alabama's defense shite the bed against Vanderbilt..
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103250 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

I think it's a good to compare on a game by game basis as some really good games.. or some really bad games.. can skew the numbers..


Yep, and it also depends on the schedules of your opponents. NC State has been pretty good on offense since the Tennessee game but they've played a schedule of rotting carcasses.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
12797 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Great stuff. It looks like Texas' YPP differential hit a snag the last two weeks. They were up around 3 I believe

Our defense appears to be really good.. below 100% in all categories for each game.. our offense.. not so much.. In a weird twist of things with a Sark offense, we really just need Quinn or Arch to be a game manager and stop turning the ball over.. but our offense starting showing some weaknesses in the Oklahoma game.. Georgia destroyed us based on these numbers.. and we bounced back a little bit against Vanderbilt. Arch played the Miss State game, so it isn't apples to apples on that one..

As for Georgia, 7 sacks for 59 yards makes a huge difference in the rushing stats and YPP stats. The percentage on rushing goes from 31% to 127% if you take those out. I know you can't do that, just pointing out how big of an impact those plays have on stats like this.



FYI - I input the opposing offense and defense averages to calculate the percentages, but hid them to make the image fit better.
This post was edited on 10/30/24 at 1:40 pm
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
12797 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 1:42 pm to
I don't understand why Texas doesn't have a 1.69 YPP difference though.. It looks like that number is adjusted?

Offense = 5.82
Defense = 4.13
Net = 1.69
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103250 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 1:46 pm to
quote:


I don't understand why Texas doesn't have a 1.69 YPP difference though.. It looks like that number is adjusted?


They're net diff

Offense (Team - Opp) : -0.16
Defense (Team - Opp): -1.15
Overall (Off - Def): 0.99
This post was edited on 10/30/24 at 1:47 pm
Posted by Rzrbackguy
Apalachicola, FL
Member since Jul 2014
2304 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 1:47 pm to
Texas still has some work to do.

Lock those damn gates
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
12797 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 3:32 pm to
Are you calculating these?

Only problem I really see is when a team has to play a really dominant team.. or a really weak team.

I showed the Texas defensive stats above.. and they are pretty damn good, but they are actually even better than I showed, because each of those teams has played Texas, which lowered their averages.

Likewise, when an offense has faced Mississippi State, it skews the averages to make the offense appear better than it might be.. and both of those things probably play a big role in calculating the SOS components.

That being said, I'm not sure how to combat that without analyzing each team separately.. ie removing all Texas games from opponents averages in order to calculate the results for Texas.. then do the same thing for each team, and that just seems like way too much work, especially without knowing if there is any impact.

Either way, good work boss.
Posted by Floki
Member since Nov 2020
1075 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 3:41 pm to
Are these overall or in conference only?
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
12797 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

Are these overall or in conference only?

P4 I believe
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103250 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 3:43 pm to
I downloaded all the game stats from college football data then tweaked them to get a table of all the stats I want with Offensive team, defensive team. Then you can run a pivot table and get it all set up to where you can run the averages for a team, then the averages for all their opponents games (but without their opponents game vs Team A).



Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103250 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

Are these overall or in conference only?


P4 vs P4 (and Notre Dame) only
Posted by JJxvi
Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2011
433 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 3:49 pm to
All "Power 4" games it says. Literally that wouldn't include Notre Dame, but presumably it actually does.

You can tell how much A&M's offense is run skewed. They do very well in the rushing offense chart, not as well, but still positive overall in the passing chart, but put it together and its negative in total offense, because we're running the ball more when we play, while their average yards per play vs other teams includes more pass which generally have a higher expected yards per play.
This post was edited on 10/30/24 at 3:52 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
103250 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

You can tell how much A&M's offense is run skewed. They do very well in the rushing offense chart, not as well, but still positive overall in the passing chart, but put it together and its negative in total offense, because we're running the ball more when we play, while their average yards per play vs other teams includes more pass which generally have a higher expected yards per play.


Yep, which is why things like pt per yard (or yard per pt), success rate, drive success rates and EPA are so important in addition to this sort of stat.
Posted by David Fellows
Chicago but Georgia on my mind
Member since Mar 2024
102 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 4:16 pm to
Groan at those UT defensive stats.

Beck better get his stuff together by week 12.
This post was edited on 10/30/24 at 4:17 pm
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