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Possible playoff teams strength of schedule and such...

Posted on 10/26/21 at 4:22 am
Posted by koreandawg
South Korea
Member since Sep 2015
8961 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 4:22 am
The 1st Playoff Rankings are nearly upon us. Using the SOS formula the committee has adopted, heres the SOS rankings for the contenders:

#Cincinnati 100th
#Georgia 29th
#Michigan 53rd
#OhioState 68th
#Alabama 36th
#MichiganState 116th
#Oklahoma 121st

LINK
Posted by zoom
everywhere
Member since Apr 2013
3564 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 4:30 am to
Says so much
Posted by LewDawg
Member since May 2009
75242 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 6:13 am to
It just means more?
Posted by i am dan
NC
Member since Aug 2011
24692 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 6:15 am to
Naw, just middle of the road SEC teams like Arky and aTm get ranked #8 before playing UGA.

Helps with sos.
Posted by CoachDon
Louisville
Member since Sep 2014
12409 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 6:19 am to
#Kentucky 34th

Posted by ugastudent
Member since Mar 2012
1337 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 6:27 am to
quote:

middle of the road SEC teams


quote:

Auburn fan


Irony
Posted by Crimson Wraith
Member since Jan 2014
24717 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 6:28 am to
Sagarin SOS

BAMA - 15
Jawja - 32
Mich - 42
Ohio St-51
Mich St-56
OU - 68
Cincy - 89

Posted by CoachDon
Louisville
Member since Sep 2014
12409 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 6:44 am to
quote:

Sagarin SOS

BAMA - 15
Jawja - 32
Mich - 42
Ohio St-51
Mich St-56
OU - 68
Cincy - 89


UK - 50

Posted by JJJimmyJimJames
Southern States
Member since May 2020
18496 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 7:04 am to
quote:

quote:
middle of the road SEC teams


quote:
Auburn fan


Irony
bookmarked
Posted by koreandawg
South Korea
Member since Sep 2015
8961 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 7:27 am to
quote:

bookmarked


Posted by ATLtiger12
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2013
675 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 7:32 am to
Based on Sagarin, I would expect UGA to fall a decent bit over their last 5 games. UR and UT are ranked 17 and 36, respectively by Sagarin, but Mizzou is 83, Charleston Southern is 199, and GT is 68. So I would expect UGA to finish the regular season around 50 in SOS, which is higher than they were originally projected.

Also, every team UGA has beaten so far this year has 3+ losses except for Auburn and Kentucky. Not sure that is something I would be bragging about.
Posted by higgs_boson
State College, PA
Member since Sep 2014
22454 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 8:04 am to
No idea how the committee actually does the picking, but I can't see you getting together a bunch of people in the room and them not putting GA at number one.

After that it gets dicey. Honestly, I think Cinn should be ahead of Oklahoma and Alabama in the top 4.

As time goes on, I guess the Big 10 leader will be boosted by a stronger SOS, as long as just one team wins out.
Posted by andyv95
Nashville
Member since Sep 2021
1492 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 8:07 am to
SOS for Cincinnati is a joke
Posted by koreandawg
South Korea
Member since Sep 2015
8961 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 8:14 am to
quote:

Based on Sagarin, I would expect UGA to fall a decent bit over their last 5 games. UR and UT are ranked 17 and 36, respectively by Sagarin, but Mizzou is 83, Charleston Southern is 199, and GT is 68. So I would expect UGA to finish the regular season around 50 in SOS, which is higher than they were originally projected.

Also, every team UGA has beaten so far this year has 3+ losses except for Auburn and Kentucky. Not sure that is something I would be bragging about.


The problem with all of this is it's like when non SEC fans complain about so many SEC teams ranked in the top ten, fifteen, twenty, etc.

They are really good at pointing out why those teams should not be ranked so high. They are not very good with pointing out who should take their place and why. So are their teams, or any team, that's playing a full slate of teams with only one or two losses?
This post was edited on 10/26/21 at 8:15 am
Posted by HighTide_ATL
Member since Aug 2020
1896 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 8:16 am to
At first glance of record Cinci seems like a viable choice for top 4 but when looking at their schedule, and how they’ve faired against each team I have a hard time saying they belong there

5-6 is my range. And that will probably continue to slide until Bama, Ohio State, Michigan or Oklahoma lose. Even if UGA loses I don’t think it gets them in unless it’s a regular season loss
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
6291 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 8:17 am to
quote:

Based on Sagarin, I would expect UGA to fall a decent bit over their last 5 games. UR and UT are ranked 17 and 36, respectively by Sagarin, but Mizzou is 83, Charleston Southern is 199, and GT is 68. So I would expect UGA to finish the regular season around 50 in SOS, which is higher than they were originally projected.

Also, every team UGA has beaten so far this year has 3+ losses except for Auburn and Kentucky. Not sure that is something I would be bragging about.

Tried explaining this to the Georgia fans on here yesterday. They weren't having it. It's why they are collectively the dumbest and most gullible fan base on here.
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
1534 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 8:21 am to
Based on past playoff years the committee seems to like strength of wins the most and especially the really big wins. They let that override SOS some and having a worse loss.

Taking out possible undefeated power 5 teams this will probably be the order of preference though they might shuffle the 4 rankings for the early matchups.

1. 1 loss SEC champ
2. 1 loss Big 10 Champ
3. 1 loss Oregon (unless OSU had 3 losses)
4. 1 loss Big 12 Champ
5. Undefeated Cincy (as long as ND was at least 10-2)
6. 1 loss ACC champ Pitt (an FCS loss is another matter)

Where it would get crazy is if Georgia only lost to Bama. The argument would be with the 1 loss Big 12 Champ but I think the Big 12 team might have the better wins resume in that scenario plus the championship. The committee would have to justify placing Georgia in with a game control test or argue the best loss which they have downplayed in the past.
This post was edited on 10/26/21 at 8:24 am
Posted by TheMidnightTiger
Member since Jun 2018
2364 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 8:34 am to
quote:

UGA student


quote:

Irony


1980
Posted by FireDanMullen
Member since Dec 2020
2683 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 9:37 am to
Oklahoma shouldn’t even be in the top 8. They’ve played no one and escaped with 1 score victories against the following;

Tulane, West Virginia, Texas, Nebraska, and Kansas State.

Maybe getting their shite pushed in the playoffs for the 4th time in 5 seasons will encourage everyone to leave them out in the future.
Posted by Pvt Hudson
Member since Jan 2013
3536 posts
Posted on 10/26/21 at 9:43 am to
quote:

Maybe getting their shite pushed in the playoffs for the 4th time in 5 seasons will encourage everyone to leave them out in the future.


That will fix itself in the next couple seasons.
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