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Opponent Adjusted EPA per Play - Through Week 5
Posted on 10/3/22 at 9:53 am
Posted on 10/3/22 at 9:53 am
quote:
Expected Points Added Definition
The theory behind Expected Points Added (EPA) is simple. The statistic is used to try and define how many points a player or play is worth to a team.
Every play is considered with context in mind, meaning down distance and field position are used to evaluate the amount of EPA compared to the actual result of the play. These statistics can be added to create a cumulative EPA over the course of a time period or season, or it can be viewed by EPA/play.
Opponent Adjusted EPA/play - Through Week 5 (Twitter)
quote:
Joshua "Bud" Davis, PhD
@JBudDavis
Opponent Adjusted EPA/play - Wk 5
- Bama defense looking scary
- Maryland/Miss St hanging around
- We won't know how good TCU is until they face a real road test like Kansas" ??
- Minn had a rough one
-The cluster of "midwest states that start with i" teams
Data:
@CFB_Data
Offense/Defense
Offense - Run/Pass
Defense - Run/Pass
This post was edited on 10/3/22 at 9:54 am
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Posted on 10/3/22 at 9:55 am to SummerOfGeorge
I wasn't expecting our pass defense to be this good, but the final pieces are in place. I don't know how long Branch is going to be out or how big an impact that will be, but hopefully he's back soon.
Posted on 10/3/22 at 9:58 am to skrayper
If Eboigbe and Young can get healthy again with Oatis coming on at DT that defense is ultra elite as long as Branch is alright after getting dinged Saturday.
Posted on 10/3/22 at 10:24 am to SummerOfGeorge
This doesn’t support the Rant hypothesis that we are the 4th best team in the SEC
Posted on 10/3/22 at 10:26 am to SummerOfGeorge
Are pass interference calls factored in the pass defense metric?
Posted on 10/3/22 at 10:27 am to diddlydawg7
UGA is fine you just need someone to step up to complement Bowers downfield and your offense will start clicking again.
Posted on 10/3/22 at 10:32 am to tide06
quote:
If Eboigbe and Young can get healthy again with Oatis coming on at DT that defense is ultra elite as long as Branch is alright after getting dinged Saturday.
It is amusing how people are pointing to the number of rushing yards Alabama gave up, but that was on 51 rushes (187 yards) and a total of 85 offensive plays for Arkansas. You start delving into true analytics and it wasn't a bad defensive performance at all, and Alabama made mistakes to extend drives that should have ended well before they did (Henry's push in the back comes to mind).
Posted on 10/3/22 at 10:36 am to diddlydawg7
quote:
This doesn’t support the Rant hypothesis that we are the 4th best team in the SEC
Week 5 Georgia and Week 2 Alabama will be fighting it out for the Outback Bowl IMHO IYAM
Posted on 10/3/22 at 10:47 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Week 5 Georgia and Week 2 Alabama will be fighting it out for the Outback Bowl IMHO IYAM
No doubt.
Although one difference is that the Texas game was close was because Texas actually played as good as Bama. The reason our game was close was turnovers and red zone issues.
Total Yards
Alabama- 374
Texas- 371
Total Yards
Georgia- 492
Mizzou- 284
Posted on 10/3/22 at 10:51 am to SummerOfGeorge
I knew State’s passing defense was good this year, but I didn’t expect it to be quite that high. The really interesting stat was the balance on offense
Posted on 10/3/22 at 10:55 am to diddlydawg7
I just meant general "they suck" opinion of each team at that point in time by the geniuses on this board.
Posted on 10/3/22 at 11:00 am to SummerOfGeorge
Based on this, LSU vs. Tenn should be a damn good game.
Posted on 10/3/22 at 11:01 am to SummerOfGeorge
If the Alabama defense has taught us anything, it's that if you are getting torched, you just need to hurt the opposing teams QB.
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