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SummerOfGeorge
Alabama Fan
Brookhaven, GA
Member since Jul 2013
97352 posts

Opponent Adjusted EPA per Play - Through Week 5

quote:

Expected Points Added Definition
The theory behind Expected Points Added (EPA) is simple. The statistic is used to try and define how many points a player or play is worth to a team.

Every play is considered with context in mind, meaning down distance and field position are used to evaluate the amount of EPA compared to the actual result of the play. These statistics can be added to create a cumulative EPA over the course of a time period or season, or it can be viewed by EPA/play.


Opponent Adjusted EPA/play - Through Week 5 (Twitter)

quote:


Joshua "Bud" Davis, PhD
@JBudDavis
Opponent Adjusted EPA/play - Wk 5

- Bama defense looking scary
- Maryland/Miss St hanging around
- We won't know how good TCU is until they face a real road test like Kansas" ??
- Minn had a rough one
-The cluster of "midwest states that start with i" teams

Data:
@CFB_Data


Offense/Defense




Offense - Run/Pass





Defense - Run/Pass

This post was edited on 10/3 at 9:54 am


skrayper
Alabama Fan
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
28346 posts

I wasn't expecting our pass defense to be this good, but the final pieces are in place. I don't know how long Branch is going to be out or how big an impact that will be, but hopefully he's back soon.


tide06
Alabama Fan
Member since Oct 2011
7024 posts

If Eboigbe and Young can get healthy again with Oatis coming on at DT that defense is ultra elite as long as Branch is alright after getting dinged Saturday.


diddlydawg7
Georgia Fan
2x Best Poster Elite 8 (1x Sweet 16
Member since Oct 2017
24028 posts

This doesn’t support the Rant hypothesis that we are the 4th best team in the SEC


LittleJerrySeinfield
Alabama Fan
Your Mom
Member since Aug 2013
5353 posts

Are pass interference calls factored in the pass defense metric?


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tide06
Alabama Fan
Member since Oct 2011
7024 posts

UGA is fine you just need someone to step up to complement Bowers downfield and your offense will start clicking again.


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skrayper
Alabama Fan
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
28346 posts

quote:

If Eboigbe and Young can get healthy again with Oatis coming on at DT that defense is ultra elite as long as Branch is alright after getting dinged Saturday.


It is amusing how people are pointing to the number of rushing yards Alabama gave up, but that was on 51 rushes (187 yards) and a total of 85 offensive plays for Arkansas. You start delving into true analytics and it wasn't a bad defensive performance at all, and Alabama made mistakes to extend drives that should have ended well before they did (Henry's push in the back comes to mind).


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SummerOfGeorge
Alabama Fan
Brookhaven, GA
Member since Jul 2013
97352 posts

quote:

This doesn’t support the Rant hypothesis that we are the 4th best team in the SEC



Week 5 Georgia and Week 2 Alabama will be fighting it out for the Outback Bowl IMHO IYAM


diddlydawg7
Georgia Fan
2x Best Poster Elite 8 (1x Sweet 16
Member since Oct 2017
24028 posts

quote:

Week 5 Georgia and Week 2 Alabama will be fighting it out for the Outback Bowl IMHO IYAM


No doubt.

Although one difference is that the Texas game was close was because Texas actually played as good as Bama. The reason our game was close was turnovers and red zone issues.

Total Yards
Alabama- 374
Texas- 371

Total Yards
Georgia- 492
Mizzou- 284


PorkDawg
Mississippi St. Fan
Texas
Member since Feb 2019
4994 posts

I knew State’s passing defense was good this year, but I didn’t expect it to be quite that high. The really interesting stat was the balance on offense


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SummerOfGeorge
Alabama Fan
Brookhaven, GA
Member since Jul 2013
97352 posts

I just meant general "they suck" opinion of each team at that point in time by the geniuses on this board.


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UpToPar
USA Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
21490 posts

Based on this, LSU vs. Tenn should be a damn good game.


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GeauxPack81
California Fan
Member since Dec 2009
10327 posts

If the Alabama defense has taught us anything, it's that if you are getting torched, you just need to hurt the opposing teams QB.


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